154
FXUS62 KFFC 031837
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
237 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2025
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2025
AT A GLANCE:
-SHOWERS ENDING OVERNIGHT.
- THE FRONT WILL CLEAR OUT TOMORROW MORNING, LEAVING COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN IT'S WAKE.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE STATE TODAY WITH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA. WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE INTERMITTENT SHOWERS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR SO WITH THINGS SLOWLY CLEARING OUT THROUGH
DAYBREAK SUN. INSTABILITY IS FAIRLY LIMITED ACROSS THE STATE THIS
AFTERNOON SO WE ARE NOT SEEING MUCH IN THE WAY OF THUNDERSTORMS
AT THE MOMENT. WE STILL COULD SEE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
BEFORE THIS FRONT MOVES OUT BUT NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SEVERE.
HI-RES MODELS SHOWING A SECOND, MORE ORGANIZED LINE MOVING INTO
NW GA RIGHT AROUND 20Z-22Z. IT PUSHES THROUGH THE ATL/CSG AREAS
RIGHT AROUND SUNSET AND CONTINUES MOVING SE OVER NIGHT. THIS WILL
BE THE BEST TIMEFRAME TO SEE AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT STILL NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF A SEVERE STORM.
A DRIER COOLER AIRMASS WRAPS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE MAIN LOW
PRESSURE CENTER OVER KY SUN BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO NORTH
AND CENTRAL GA. TEMPS SUN WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 60S AND 70S WITH
SOME NEAR 80 DEG TEMPS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL GA. LOWS SUN NIGHT WILL
DIP DOWN INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
01
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2025
-DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK
-UNSETTLED WEATHER IS LIKELY TO RETURN MID-WEEK STICKING AROUND
THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. AT THE START OF
THE LONG TERM, AN UPPER LOW BECOMES MORE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO
AND TN VALLEY REGIONS WITH THE SURFACE LOW OCCLUDED AT THIS POINT
AND THE SURFACE FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES WELL
TO OUR EAST. THIS POSITIONING WILL ALLOW A COOLER DRIER AIRMASS
TO WRAP AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW AND MOVE IN ACROSS NORTH
ANS CENTRAL GA. WE SHOULD SEE DAYTIME HIGHS MONDAY TUESDAY MAINLY
IN THE 70S WITH SOME LOWER 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA.
NIGHT TIME LOWS WILL DIP DOWN INTO THE 40S AND 50S AS WELL.
AS WE HEAD TOWARDS MID-WEEK (WEDNESDAY), LATEST ENSEMBLES INDICATE
THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL US FLATTENS AS ANOTHER BROAD TROUGH TAKES UP RESIDENCE OVER
THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE
MIDLEVELS WILL USHER IN SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. THUS, UNSETTLED
WEATHER IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN BETWEEN
WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME, RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES LOOK TO
BE HIGHEST DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING COINCIDING
WITH PEAK HEATING. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WILL REMAIN
'COOLER' PRIMARILY DUE TO CLOUD COVER WITH FORECAST VALUES IN THE
70S IN MOST LOCATIONS -- ASIDE FROM NORTHEAST GA WHERE TEMPERATURES
MAY ONLY REACH THE 60S.
01
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2025
LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. WILL SEE CEILINGS MAINLY IN THE VFR TO MVFR RANGE AS THE
SHOWERS CROSS OVER THE TAF SITES THROUGH 03-05Z. CEILINGS WILL
FALL OVER NIGHT TO NEAR THE IFR RANGE BUT SHOULD STAY JUST ABOVE
THROUGH DAYBREAK. CEILINGS WILL CLEAR OUT SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK
SUN. WINDS WILL STAY OUT OF THE W-SW THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 5-10KT RANGE WITH SOME HIGHER GUST
NEAR 20KT LATE SUN MORNING INTO SUN AFTERNOON. VSBYS WILL STAY
MAINLY IN THE VFR RANGE BUT WILL SEE SOME MVFR READINGS IN AND
AROUND ANY STRONGER SHOWERS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 55 73 48 74 / 90 0 0 0
ATLANTA 55 72 50 73 / 80 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 48 65 42 66 / 90 10 0 10
CARTERSVILLE 51 70 45 72 / 60 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 56 75 50 77 / 80 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 55 70 49 71 / 90 0 0 0
MACON 58 78 50 78 / 80 0 0 0
ROME 51 69 45 72 / 40 10 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 53 73 47 75 / 90 0 0 0
VIDALIA 64 82 56 82 / 80 20 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...01
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