497
FXUS62 KFFC 310228
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1028 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
..EVENING UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1026 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER IS (FINALLY) AHEAD FOR TONIGHT AS A MUCH
DRIER AND MORE PLEASANT AIRMASS FILTERS QUICKLY SOUTHWARD BEHIND A
COLD FRONT. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A COOL FRIDAY MORNING BY
LATE MAY STANDARDS AS MOST AREAS WILL DIP INTO THE 50S.
RW
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
AT A GLANCE:
- SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON;
WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANCE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
THE CWA.
- BEAUTIFUL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW.
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH NW GEORGIA AS I SIT DOWN
TO WRITE THIS. AHEAD OF THAT, CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO BREAK FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. ALONG AND NORTH OF I-85 THIS MORNING,
A THICK CLOUD DECK HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE. THIS
MORNINGS SOUNDING SHOWS A PRETTY GOOD INVERSION FROM 0-1KM WITH CIN
VALUES AROUND 200 J/KG. THESE CONDITIONS HAVE SO FAR KEPT STORMS
FROM REACHING SEVERE THRESHOLDS, BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO A
MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON WE'RE EXPECTING THOSE
STORMS TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY. SOMETHING OF NOTE, DESPITE THE CAP IN
PLACE WE STILL MANAGED TO GENERATE NEARLY 800 J/KG OF DCAPE THIS
MORNING WHICH IS IN LINE WITH OUR CONCERN FOR DAMAGING WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON.
SBCAPE SOUTH OF I-85 THIS MORNING AND INTO EARLY AFTERNOON IS
EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE ~2000+ J/KG RANGE AS TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS
RAPIDLY RISE. THIS COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 45+ KTS
HAVE US CONCERNED FOR A SIGNIFICANT WIND THREAT WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW TORNADOES EMBEDDED IN WHAT LOOKS LIKE WILL EVENTUALLY BE A
QLCS. THIS SITUATION IS QUICKLY EVOLVING AND WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT, CLEARING THE WEATHER FROM THE
CWA SOMETIME AROUND 9PM. DRY AIR AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FILTER IN FOR SATURDAY GIVING US A BEAUTIFUL START TO
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. AFTER ALL THE DREARY WEATHER WE'VE HAD OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS, IT'LL BE GOOD TO GET OUTSIDE.
VAUGHN
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
AT A GLANCE:
- DRY WEATHER AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL KICK THE WEEK OFF.
- THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS STARTS TO RETURNS TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND.
AS THE LONG TERM KICKS OFF, A FONT TO OUR NORTH MAY BRING SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A BRIEF THUNDERSTORM TO PARTS OF NORTHERN GA AS
THE TROUGH TAKES ADVANTAGE OF SOME DIURNAL HEATING. CHANCES ARE ON
THE LOW SIDE, AND THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A MAJORITY OF WHATEVER
IS SPARKED BY THE FRONT STAYS TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA. SOUTH OF I-
20, THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY KIND OF WEATHER QUICKLY DROPS TO NEAR ZERO
WITH DRY AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE LARGELY IN CONTROL.
REMNANTS OF THAT FRONT WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE OUT AND HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. GRADUAL WARMING IS EXPECTED AS TEMPS CLIMB OUT OF THE MID 80S
AND BACK TO THE 90S THOUGH THIS IS WHERE WE'D EXPECT THEM THIS TIME
OF YEAR. THAT RIDGE WILL EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AFTER
WEDNESDAY AND THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO
THE CWA. NO RELIEF FROM THE GROWING HEAT IS EXPECTED, AND AS THE LOW
APPROACHES, OUR HI VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO WORK THEIR WAY BACK INTO
THE UNCOMFORTABLE ZONE.
VAUGHN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AS DRIER AIR
PUSHES IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT. CIGS CURRENTLY IN THE 10-20KFT
RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN W TO NW WITH SPEEDS
5-10 KTS OVERNIGHT AGAIN INCREASING TO 8-12 KTS AFTER 15-17Z
SATURDAY WITH GUSTS 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 62 78 56 81 / 30 70 0 0
ATLANTA 63 78 58 81 / 20 70 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 56 72 51 74 / 10 80 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 61 78 54 81 / 20 60 0 0
COLUMBUS 65 84 59 83 / 20 50 0 0
GAINESVILLE 62 77 56 79 / 20 70 0 0
MACON 65 84 58 83 / 20 70 10 0
ROME 62 78 56 81 / 20 60 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 63 79 55 81 / 20 60 0 0
VIDALIA 68 87 61 84 / 30 50 20 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...RW
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