556
FXUS62 KFFC 311842
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
242 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2025
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2025
- DRY AND HAZY/SMOKY SKY THROUGH THE EVENING DUE TO WILDFIRE
SMOKE FROM CANADA
- ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS PORTIONS OF NORTH
GA ON SUNDAY. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY ELSEWHERE.
IF YOU'VE WALKED OUTDOORS THIS AFTERNOON YOU MAY HAVE NOTICED IT'S
QUITE HAZY. NO THAT'S NOT CIRRUS CLOUDS YOU'RE SEEING BUT ACTUALLY
WILDFIRE SMOKE FROM CANADA. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE ADVECTED A GOOD
BIT OF SMOKE FROM CANADA ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. THIS HAS
INHIBITED MORE WIDESPREAD CU DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED CU
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE BUT LARGELY SUPPRESSED DUE TO SMOKE. AT
THIS TIME THERE ARE NO VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS (PER SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS) FROM SMOKE AND LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE INDICATES
VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN UP THROUGH THE EVENING. DID NOTE THE
HRRR TRYING TO BRING IN SOME SLIGHTLY LOWER VISIBILITIES SHORTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE SO THAT WILL BE SOMETHING TO MONITOR.
AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY, A DISTURBANCE ALOFT IS FORECAST TO SWING
THROUGH THE MS VALLEY REGION BRINGING THE RETURN OF SOME CLOUDS AND
PERHAPS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF NORTH
GA. NOT MUCH CHANGE WITH THIS COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST --
THE THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR MOST LIKELY FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-20. WHILE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED, WE ARE IN GEORGIA AND
HEADED INTO JUNE. SO ANY STORM THAT IS ABLE TO GET GOING COULD
CERTAINLY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND/OR SMALL HAIL. REGARDLESS, KEEP AN
EYE TO THE SKY AS ALL STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD-
TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
07
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- OPPRESSIVE HUMIDITY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS RETURN
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WILL FEATURE DRY CONDITIONS AND A
WARMING TREND AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST U.S.. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO AN ALREADY DRY AIRMASS
LEFT IN PLACE BY THIS WEEKENDS MID-LEVEL NW FLOW, SO THE
SUBSIDENCE WILL AID IN SQUASHING ANY CHANCES FOR DIURNAL
CONVECTION ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
AROUND NORMAL ON MONDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S, BEFORE WARMING TO
THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST,
CENTERING OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. IN RESPONSE, LOW-LEVEL FLOW
WILL TURN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY OVER GEORGIA, BRINGING INCREASINGLY
HUMID AIR INTO THE AREA. WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S, THE HIGHER HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE
A TYPICAL OPPRESSIVE MID-SUMMER DAY IN SOUTH. THE LESSENING
INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE COMBINED WITH INCREASED MOISTURE WILL
ALLOW FOR DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN EACH DAY,
WITH BETTER CHANCES ON FRIDAY.
CULVER
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 141 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL SITES. WNW TO NW
WINDS AT 8 TO 14KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 24KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH AFTER 00Z. WINDS HAVE USHERED IN
WILDFIRE SMOKE TO THE REGION WHICH AS LARGE INHIBITED MUCH CU
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ISOLATED CU IS TRYING TO FORM IN
WEST-CENTRAL GA SO MAINTAIN FEW050 AT ATL/CSG/MCN. AT THIS TIME
NOT NOTING ANY VSBY RESTRICTIONS FROM THE SMOKE SO KEEP VSBYS UP
THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID TO UPPER CLOUDS MOVE INTO AROUND 12Z IN
RESPONSE TO A PASSING DISTURBANCE ALOFT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
07
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 59 83 61 84 / 0 10 0 0
ATLANTA 62 81 63 86 / 0 10 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 53 76 54 79 / 0 30 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 58 82 59 85 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBUS 62 85 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 60 81 61 83 / 0 20 0 0
MACON 61 84 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 58 82 60 85 / 0 10 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 59 82 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 64 87 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...07
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