748
FXUS62 KFFC 101749
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
149 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 144 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY BEFORE WARMING PATTERN INTO THE WEEKEND.
- COASTAL LOW BRINGS INCREASED RAIN CHANCES AND CLOUD COVER
FOR SOUTHEAST CENTRAL GEORGIA BEFORE DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL
SATURDAY.
- A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER THROUGH NEXT WEEK, AND
COMBINE WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES TO FAVOR CONTINUED OR
WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
COASTAL LOW OFF THE GEORGIA ATLANTIC COAST WILL BE THE MAIN
DRIVING FACTOR FOR ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT TODAY. CAMS ARE
SUGGESTING SHOWERS COULD REACH INTO SOUTHEAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
FURTHER NORTHWESTWARD BUT ULTIMATELY SHOULD STAY CONFINED TO THE
FALL LINE AND SOUTHWARD. WIND GUSTS OF 20-25MPH WILL CONTINUE
INTO THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CLEARING OUT AS WELL. THE ONLY REAL CHANGE
MADE WAS TO INCREASE RAIN CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO THE AFTERNOON TO ACCOUNT FOR THE BETTER
AGREEMENT IN CAMS GUIDANCE. WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
OVERALL MOSTLY CLOUDY TO OVERCAST SKIES EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN
THIRD OF THE CWA, DECIDED TO LOWER THE MAX TS IN THIS AREA TO TOP
OUT AT 70 INSTEAD OF THE MID 70S. BASED OFF LATEST GUIDANCE,
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE 70S TODAY FOR THAT AREA BUT THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD STAY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR HIGHS
WITH LESS CLOUD COVER THE FURTHER NORTH YOU GO.
EXPECTING THE COASTAL LOW TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST TOMORROW WHICH WILL LIMIT RAIN CHANCES TO THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF CENTRAL GEORGIA WITH RAIN CHANCES LESS
THAN 10% OVER THIS AREA. AS A RESULT, CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO PUSH
FURTHER NORTHEASTWARD ALLOWING THE HIGH PRESSURE TO FULLY SETTLE
INTO PLACE AND LIMIT CLOUD COVER AND THUS START OUR WARMING TREND
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE AREA. LOWS CONTINUE
TO REMAIN IN THE MID 50S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 40S OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK ON THE RISE STARTING EARLY ON SUNDAY AFTER
A SEVERAL DAY STRETCH OF MORE FALL-LIKE CONDITIONS. ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT REGARDING A STOUT MID-/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
PARKING OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CONUS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK,
PROMOTING INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. GIVEN THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN, THE LONG TERM
PERIOD BRINGS ESSENTIALLY NO RAIN CHANCES AND AMPLE SUNSHINE. AS A
RESULT, MAINTENANCE AND/OR EXPANSION OF MODERATE DROUGHT (D1)
CONDITIONS AND SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF
WESTERN GEORGIA, CENTRAL GEORGIA, AND THE ATLANTA METRO AREA ARE
LIKELY IN THE WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 144 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN STORY WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KT
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST 20Z TOMORROW AND POTENTIALLY THROUGH
22Z. EXPECTING CIGS TO CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
A SCT DECK ~6000-7000FT SETS UP TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. EASTERLY WINDS BEGIN TO DAMPEN INTO
TOMORROW EVENING WITH SKIES CLEARING AGAIN.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON WIND GUSTS LASTING UNTIL 22Z.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 144 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
CEILINGS IN THE 2000 TO 5000 FT AGL RANGE WILL CONTINUE IN EASTERN
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY. IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE
FOR ALL THE TAF SITES. RAIN SHOWERS WILL ALSO LINGER IN CENTRAL
GEORGIA THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z, WITH BRIEF IMPACTS ANTICIPATED FOR
KMCN. WINDS WILL BE STEADY FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS OVER 20 KT BEFORE 22Z TODAY AND AFTER 13Z SATURDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE OCCURRENCE OF CEILINGS IN THE 2500 TO
4000 FT AGL RANGE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME BETWEEN 22Z TODAY AND 06Z
SATURDAY.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL OTHER ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 69 54 74 55 / 0 10 10 20
ATLANTA 73 57 77 56 / 0 0 0 10
BLAIRSVILLE 69 47 72 46 / 0 0 0 10
CARTERSVILLE 75 52 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 75 58 79 55 / 20 10 0 10
GAINESVILLE 70 54 75 54 / 0 0 0 10
MACON 70 58 76 56 / 40 10 10 20
ROME 78 52 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 73 55 77 53 / 0 0 0 10
VIDALIA 70 60 75 60 / 40 40 30 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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