811
FXUS62 KFFC 111716
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
116 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 109 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
- COASTAL LOW BRINGS LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS OVER
EASTERN GA TODAY AND TOMORROW BUT ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK, COMBINING
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES TO PROMOTE CONTINUED OR WORSENING
DROUGHT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 109 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
COASTAL LOW OFF THE GA/SC COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ALONG
THE COAST TODAY WITH THICK HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF EASTERN GEORGIA AS A RESULT. CAMS ARE INDICATING THAT RAIN
CHANCES SHOULD REMAIN LOW TODAY BUT SOME DO HINT AT A BAND OF
LIGHT SHOWERS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO TO REACH INTO THE FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. BEHIND THIS
FRONT DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE AREA WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO THE
WORSENING DROUGHT. DID ELECT TO LOWER DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN AGREEMENT WITH A STRIPE OF UPPER 30 TO
LOW 40 DEGREE DEWPOINTS GENERALLY ALONG I-85 AND ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE COASTAL LOW BUT THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE TROUGH OVER
NORTHERN AL. WITH THIS AND THE EXPECTED PERSISTENT HIGH LEVEL
CLOUD COVER ALSO ELECTED TO LOWER MAX TS BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES.
CURRENT FORECASTED HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH LOWER
AMOUNTS ON THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA. GUSTY WINDS AGAIN TODAY
UP TO 20MPH.
SUNDAY, RAIN CHANCES AGAIN WILL BE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN THIRD
OF THE CWA AS THE COASTAL LOW FULLY PUSHES ALONG THE COAST,
EVENTUALLY MOVING FAR ENOUGH AWAY FROM GEORGIA. TEMPS WARM TO NEAR
80 FOR SUNDAY AS WE BECOME FURTHER REMOVED FROM THE HIGH LEVEL
CIRRUS DECK AND SHOWERS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 109 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD, THE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW THAT HAVE BROUGHT RAIN TO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA YESTERDAY (FRIDAY) -- AND WILL LIKELY BRING
ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY -- WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD. A STOUT MID-/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CONUS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK, BRINGING
INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. HIGHS AND LOWS WILL BE
SOME 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS DRY
PERIOD WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 109 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN
GEORGIA THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z MONDAY. MVFR CEILINGS (2000 TO 3000
FT AGL) COULD OCCUR AT TIMES IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA, SOUTH AND
EAST OF KMCN. A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED IN
EASTERN GEORGIA THOUGH IMPACT ARE UNLIKELY AT KMCN OR KAHN. WINDS
WILL BE FROM THE NORTH, WITH A GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM NORTHEAST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 00Z AND 14Z SUNDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS OF THE KATL TAF.
ALBRIGHT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 73 56 76 55 / 10 10 20 10
ATLANTA 76 57 79 57 / 0 0 10 0
BLAIRSVILLE 72 47 74 49 / 0 0 10 10
CARTERSVILLE 78 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 79 56 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 75 55 78 56 / 0 10 10 10
MACON 76 57 78 56 / 10 10 20 10
ROME 79 51 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 77 54 79 53 / 0 0 10 0
VIDALIA 71 61 73 59 / 20 20 30 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...ALBRIGHT
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