814
FXUS62 KFFC 120602
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
202 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 158 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
- FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES FOR MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
THROUGH SUNDAY.
- A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK, COMBINING
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES TO PROMOTE CONTINUED OR WORSENING
DROUGHT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
THIS EVENING & TONIGHT:
QUIET WEATHER WILL OCCUR IN MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING
THIS PERIOD, DESPITE THE STRONG COASTAL LOW SPINNING ALONG THE
GEORGIA COASTLINE. MOST OF THE REGION WILL FEATURE FAIR SKIES, LOW
HUMIDITY AND MILD TEMPERATURES. DUE TO THE LOW HUMIDITY TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL QUICKLY THIS EVENING. BY SUNDAY MORNING THE MOUNTAINS AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 40S. THE
ATLANTA METRO AND CENTRAL GEORGIA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 50S
OVERNIGHT. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA,
THOUGH RAINFALL WON'T BE WIDESPREAD DUE TO A LACK OF APPRECIABLE
FORCING MECHANISMS.
SUNDAY:
AS THE COASTAL LOW MOVES INTO THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY THE MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. CAM GUIDANCE IS HIT AND MISS WITH THIS FEATURE
REGARDING ITS ABILITY TO GENERATE RAINFALL IN GEORGIA. HOWEVER IT
SHOULD PROVIDE SOME WEAK LIFT, AND WITH AMPLE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IN
PLACE SOME PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE WARRANTED ACROSS EASTERN
GEORGIA. WE BUMPED UP RAIN CHANCES (FROM THE BASE NBM GUIDANCE) INTO
THE 15 TO 35% RANGE, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES EXPECTED DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A LOW DEGREE OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THAT LIGHTNING IS
UNLIKELY ON SUNDAY. RAIN TOTALS DON'T LOOK OVERLY IMPRESSIVE, LIKELY
LESS THAN 0.20 INCHES. FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN GEORGIA DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
CONFIDENCE IN THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY IS HIGH FOR
WESTERN GEORGIA, WHERE SUNSHINE AND RISING HEIGHTS SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO APPROACH 80 DEGREES. GREATER UNCERTAINTY IN THE HIGH
TEMPERATURE FORECAST EXISTS FOR EASTERN (PARTICULARLY EAST CENTRAL)
GEORGIA WHERE CLOUD CLOVER AND LIGHT RAINFALL COULD LIMIT AFTERNOON
HIGHS TO THE LOW 70S. IF RAINFALL HOLDS OFF UNTIL THE EVENING OR
DOESN'T OCCUR THEN HIGHS COULD FIND THERE WAY INTO THE UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
ANY MEANINGFUL RAINFALL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GA APPEARS UNLIKELY
OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. MID TO UPPER TROUGHING WILL BE LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST, WITH BROAD RIDGING TAKING UP
RESIDENCE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL US AND STICK AROUND THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO
THE MID 80S FROM MONDAY TO FRIDAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE 5-10
DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTHEAST GA MOUNTAINS. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE WITH VALUES IN THE 50S (40S IN THE
MOUNTAINS). GIVEN THE LACK OF RAINFALL IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST,
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN THE SAME OR WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 158 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA PUSHING IN
CLOSER TO KATL INTO THE MORNING AND MID AFTERNOON HOURS. SHOWERS
SHOULD STAY WELL TO THE EAST WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NW
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 54 78 54 80 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 56 80 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 49 74 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 50 79 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 54 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 55 79 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 55 81 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 51 82 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 52 80 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 58 80 57 83 / 30 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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