890
FXUS62 KFFC 130709
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
309 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 300 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
- FAIR WEATHER AND A GRADUAL UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE WITH NO MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONGTERM.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
THE COASTAL LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL FINALLY
PUSH OFF THE COAST AND INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH TODAY INTO
TOMORROW GIVING WAY TO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO SETTLE INTO
PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTH. RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
THE MAIN STORY FOR THE SHORT TERM WITH DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. AS WITH THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS, DID BLEND IN NBM10 INTO THE DEWPOINTS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DRY
AIR IN PLACE. WITH THE PATTERN DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE AND
LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER TEMPS WILL EASILY WARM TO THE LOW 80S
TODAY AT ~5-6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TOMORROW WILL SEE MUCH OF THE
SAME WEATHER WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S (~10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL) AND CLEAR SKIES. MORNING TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S
ARE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO MORNINGS WHICH IS STILL ~5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
LONGTERM OUTLOOK CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY A RIDGING PATTERN,
THOUGH TROUGHING MAY RETURN NEXT WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL FLOW PINCHES
OFF THE EAST COAST TROUGH AS RIDGING DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. MODELS DRIVE THE CUT OFF LOW SOUTH,
AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH, THOUGH THIS SHOULD BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH
TO KEEP IMPACTS MINIMAL THROUGH THE WEEK. VERTICALLY STACKED
NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WILL KEEP PWATS AT OR BELOW 1". OUR
NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION MAY BE NEXT WEEKEND, HOWEVER GIVEN
RECENT MODEL PERFORMANCE ON RIDGE BREAKDOWN THIS FORECASTER IS
HESITANT TO EXPECT ANY MEANINGFUL RAIN. THE CURRENT MODEL SOLUTIONS
WHICH DO DELIVER SOME RAINFALL FOR THE AREA REQUIRE THAT THE CUT-OFF
LOW ROUNDS THE UPPER HIGH AND AMPLIFIES TROUGHING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THIS PROVIDES BOTH INCREASED SUPPORT AND MOISTURE TO
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, HOWEVER PERFECT TIMING FOR THIS
TO OCCUR WILL BE NECESSARY. AT THIS TIME, PREPARE FOR CONTINUED OR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR
MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS IS WELL ABOVE AVERAGE,
HOWEVER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S WILL MAKE THINGS QUITE TOLERABLE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
NW WINDS SHOULD TURN NE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AT GENERALLY LESS
THAN 5KT. THEY WILL REMAIN FROM THE NE THROUGH 16-17Z WHEN THEY
WILL TURN BACK TO THE NW AT 7KT OR LESS THROUGH THE EVENING. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH SKC EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 78 55 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 79 58 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 73 48 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 79 54 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 82 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 78 56 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 81 56 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 81 56 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 79 54 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 81 59 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page