394
FXUS62 KFFC 140601
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
201 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 159 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
- FAIR WEATHER AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH A ONLY LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN
OCCURRING LATE THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
DRY, WARM, AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS PATTERN IS BEING DRIVEN BY DEEP NORTHERLY
FLOW OVER THE STATE, AS IT SITS BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING
OVER THE CENTRAL U.S., AND STACKED LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ATLANTIC
COAST. BETWEEN THE ARID AIRMASS (PWAT VALUES OF 0.5-0.75") AND
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE RIDGING, CLOUD COVER WILL BE MINIMIZED OUTSIDE
OF SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS. UNDER THE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S TODAY, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING TO THE LOW TO MID 50S TONIGHT. THE AIRMASS
WILL WARM SOME ON TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES A BIT CLOSER, WITH
HIGHS CLIMBING TO THE LOW TO MID 80S. IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
GA, TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN JUST MENTIONED.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND
EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST FROM WEDNESDAY TO SATURDAY. THIS SET
UP WILL FAVOR THE CONTINUATION OF WARM AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO THE MID 80S THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO BE 5- 10 DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTHEAST GA
MOUNTAINS. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE WITH
VALUES IN THE 50S AND 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE REMAINS A
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN SOMETIME LATE NEXT WEEKEND, AS A TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWEEPS ACROSS THE PLAINS TOWARDS
THE SOUTHEAST. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE AMPLIFICATION OF THE
TROUGH TO THE WEST RESULTING IN THE BREAKDOWN OF THE MIDLEVEL
RIDGE. THOUGH HOW MUCH STRENGTHENING OCCURS AND THE IMPACT IT WILL
HAVE ON THE RIDGE IN PLACE ARE THE CURRENT QUESTIONS. SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, CURRENT THINKING IS ANY MEANINGFUL
PRECIPITATION (GREATER THAN AN INCH) REMAINS UNLIKELY.
ADDITIONALLY, THIS FAR OUT THERE ARE STILL A FEW INCONSISTENCIES
AS FAR AS TIMING AND EVOLUTION OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. IN THE
MEANTIME, ANTICIPATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN THE SAME OR
WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 159 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
ANOTHER SKC DAY EXPECTED WITH WINDS BEING THE MAIN FACTOR. NW
WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NE ~14Z TODAY BEFORE SWITCHING BACK TO NW
BY 21-22Z BEFORE SWITCHING BACK TO NE BY 02Z. SPEEDS REMAIN AT 7KT
OR LESS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 55 80 55 77 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 59 83 59 81 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 49 76 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 53 82 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 57 85 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 55 81 56 78 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 55 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 55 84 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 55 83 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 58 82 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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