654
FXUS62 KFFC 141826
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
226 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 218 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH NO RAINFALL EXPECTED THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BRIEFLY RETURN SUNDAY AS A
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A COOL OFF
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 218 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER AIRMASS
ROTATING SOUTH AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
JUST OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TOP MOVE NE OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC ALLOWING THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKE STATES TO BUILD E AND
SE THROUGH THE WEEK. WITH THE PATTERN DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE
AND CLEAR SKIES TEMPS WILL EASILY WARM TO THE LOW TO MID 80S IN
THE SHORT TERM (ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL). MORNING LOW TEMPS
WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S WITH SOME UPPER 40S IN THE
NE GA MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 218 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THE STORY THROUGH THE START OF THE
WEEKEND AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE SLOWLY SLIDES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US
AS TROUGHING DROPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL US IN ITS WAKE. THE RIDGE
WILL PREVENT ANY CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS GEORGIA, AND LEAD TO
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. EXPANSIVE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDING ALONG
THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL SEND A DRY FRONT INTO
GEORGIA FROM THE CAROLINAS ON THURSDAY, WHICH WILL COOL TEMPS A
FEW DEGREES FOR FRIDAY, BUT WILL OTHERWISE BE UNNOTICEABLE. HIGH
TEMPS FOR THUR-SAT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK:
BY LATE SATURDAY, THE PATTERN WILL START TO SHIFT AS THE RIDGE
GETS KICKED OUT OF THE AREA BY BROAD AND DEEP TROUGHING PUSHING
EAST FROM THE CENTRAL US. IN RESPONSE, LOW TO MID-LEVEL WINDS
OVER GEORGIA WILL START TO TURN OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST,
STRENGTHENING BY SUNDAY MORNING AS A STOUT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
DROPS INTO THE MS AND TN VALLEYS. THE SURGE OF SW FLOW WILL BRING
INCREASED MOISTURE, WHICH COMBINED WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT FROM
THE NEARBY TROUGH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA STARTING SUNDAY MORNING. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, THE
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL START TO PUSH THROUGH
GEORGIA FROM THE W/NW, WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND UNTIL IT
PASSES THROUGH AND DRIER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND IT. THERE IS STILL
NOTABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW THIS SYSTEM WILL PROGRESS, BUT
DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND HOW MUCH INSTABILITY
DEVELOPS IN THE AREA, A FEW STRONG TO EVEN MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE. THAT PART OF THE FORECAST WILL BECOME
CLEARER IN THE COMING DAYS. ONE THING WE DO HAVE CONFIDENCE IN, IS
THAT ANY RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM, (WHICH LOOKS TO BE GENERALLY
0.25"-0.5" OR LESS), WILL NOT MAKE MUCH OF A DENT IN THE ONGOING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
BEHIND THE FRONT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND MID-LEVEL RIDGING
WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION, USHERING IN DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW TEMPS MAY BE THE COOLEST WE'VE SEEN SO
FAR THIS SEASON (BUT STILL NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE) FALLING INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S FOR MON AND TUE MORNINGS. HIGHS LOOK TO
BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ON MON, AND MID TO UPPER 70S ON TUE.
TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT WAS JUST
MENTIONED IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 218 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
CLEAR SKIES WITH NO PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS
EXPECTED. WINDS ARE MAINLY OUT OF THE NE BUT THEY WILL TURN TO THE
NW OVERNIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO TURN BACK TO THE NE BY 15-17Z WED.
WINDS SPEEDS WILL STAY 8KT OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 56 81 56 77 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 59 83 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 50 77 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 54 82 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 57 85 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 57 82 57 78 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 56 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 54 85 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 55 83 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 58 83 57 81 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...01
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