354
FXUS62 KFFC 151756
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
156 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 151 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH NO RAINFALL EXPECTED THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY, MOSTLY IN FAR
NORTHWEST GEORGIA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS UNLIKELY TO MAKE A
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS WITH THE LUCKIEST
GETTING 0.5-1.0" OF RAINFALL.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A COOL OFF EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN STORY FOR
THE SHORT TERM WITH DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MID
TO LATE WEEK. A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL FURTHER SETTLE INTO THE
SOUTHEAST OVER TODAY AND TOMORROW WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE
ALREADY DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS. WITH THE PATTERN DOMINATED BY
HIGH PRESSURE AND LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER TEMPS WILL EASILY WARM
TO THE LOW TO MID 80S TODAY AT ~10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TOMORROW
WILL SEE MUCH OF THE SAME WEATHER WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW 80S (~10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) AND CLEAR SKIES. MORNING TEMPS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ARE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO MORNINGS WHICH IS STILL
~5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS NEAR 80
WITH DRY CONDITIONS. THE CUTOFF LOW TRAVERSING AROUND THE SOUTHERN
SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL GET PULLED INTO THE MERIDIONAL FLOW, DRAGGING
SOME MOISTURE WITH IT. AT THIS TIME, MODELS SEEM TO BE PREFERRING A
FASTER MOVING SYSTEM WHICH BRINGS THE LOW THROUGH BEFORE OUR NEXT
WEATHER MAKER.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BRINGS A SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS, LIKELY BRINGING A DECENT COLD FRONT WITH IT THROUGH THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THAT SAID, IMPACT TO THE AREA WILL LIKELY
BE BRIEF AS THE TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT AS THE BASE MOVES THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST AND THE FRONT WEAKENS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE FRONT ON SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE
GREATEST CHANCES FOR ANY NOTABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN
NORTHWEST GA WHERE THE FRONT IS STRONGEST. AS THE FORCING MOVES
EAST ACROSS THE STATE THOUGH, SUPPORT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL DROP WITH IT. THAT SAID, AFTERNOON
HEATING MAY BE POSSIBLE IN MORE CLEAR AREAS WHICH COULD BRING A
FEW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DOWN INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA. RAINFALL
TOTALS CURRENTLY LOOK TO BE AROUND 0.5" IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND
LESS THAN 0.25" IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA MAY BE
THE LUCKIEST WITH UP TO A FULL INCH OF RAIN THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. NO MATTER THE OUTCOME, PRECIPITATION IS UNLIKELY TO MAKE
MUCH HEADWAY IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
POST FRONTAL CONDITIONS EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE UNIMPRESSIVE.
TEMPERATURES COULD REBOUND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL (NEAR 80) ALONGSIDE
WEAK RIDGING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH NO PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS
EXPECTED. WINDS ARE MAINLY OUT OF THE N BUT HAVE SEEN SOME NE AND
NW WINDS. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT THEN
TURNING NE THU. WINDS SPEEDS WILL STAY 7KT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 80 56 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 83 60 80 57 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 77 51 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 83 55 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 86 58 85 58 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 81 57 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 83 56 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 85 57 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 83 55 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 83 58 82 53 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...01
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