084
FXUS62 KFFC 151059
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
559 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 559 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE COMING
WORK WEEK.
- LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
- SOAKING RAINFALL THAT WOULD IMPROVE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS
IS UNLIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
HIGH TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ON THE WARM SIDE OF NORMAL THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
THE 50S. IT REMAINS ON THE DRY SIDE OUT THERE WITH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 30S FOR MOST OF THE CWA WHICH
WILL HELP TO COOL THINGS OFF QUICKLY ONCE THE SUN STARTS TO SET.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL START TO BRING SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE
AREA. THIS WILL HELP TO PREVENT OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM FALLING AS FAR
AS THEY DID LAST WEEK. GET OUT THERE AND ENJOY THE NICE WEATHER!
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
OVERALL THE LONG TERM PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK UNEVENTFUL FOR THE
MOST PART WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIP. THE
BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM STARTING ON SUNDAY WILL SHOWCASE A WEAK
FRONT PUSHING INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA AS THE OVERALL PATTERN
PUSHES MORE OF A QUASI ZONAL PERIOD INTO THE FORECAST AREA. RAIN
CHANCES REMAIN LIMITED FOR MONDAY WITH THE ONLY REAL PROOF OF A
FRONT PASSING THROUGH BEING THE LOWERED TEMPS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE AREA TO 40S FOR LOWS AND UPPER 60S FOR HIGHS. THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD IN MORE OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS FOR THE LONG WAVE PATTERN AS A LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS PUSHES IN. SMALL IMPULSES IN THE FLOW TO OUR NORTH
WILL LEAD TO LIMITED (<10-15%) CHANCES FOR RAINFALL OVER FAR NORTH
GEORGIA IF ENOUGH ENERGY IS ABLE TO SNEAK DOWN. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON
THIS AS THE IMPULSES REMAIN CLOSER TO THE OHIO VALLEY AREA WITH
STRONG RIDGING OVER OUR AREA.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IS WHEN WE COULD SEE A
SEMBLANCE OF CHANGE. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST PUSHES EASTWARD THERE WILL BE RIDGE
BREAKDOWN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS INTO THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND. TIMING IS A BIT SCATTERED FROM FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES IN THE 40-50% RANGE FOR THE MOST PART. QPF
VALUES ARE CLOSER TO 2 " IN THE NORTHWEST OVER 2 DAYS WHICH IS IN
LINE WITH THE CPC'S OUTLINED RISK FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE (20-40%) FOR
HEAVY PRECIPITATION FOR NEXT WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT
PRECIP WILL AFFECT THE AREA BUT TIMING DOES REMAIN UNCERTAIN AS IT
WILL ALL DEPEND ON HOW THE RIDGE IS ABLE TO BREAK DOWN.
HIGHS WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S
ACROSS THE AREA AND LOW WILL BE IN THE 50S FOR THE MOST PART.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 559 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
LIGHT SW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY PICK UP TO 8-12KTS AFTER 16Z. VFR
EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD FOR BOTH CIGS AND VIS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 74 58 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 74 58 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 68 54 65 34 / 0 10 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 75 56 74 40 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 77 53 78 47 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 73 59 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 77 54 78 45 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 77 59 77 41 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 75 56 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 78 54 78 46 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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