804
FXUS62 KFFC 210518
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1218 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2025
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1211 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2025
- WARM ON SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE IN
NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL GA IN THE AM AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.
- VERY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES NEARING RECORDS BY
CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS DAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2025
WITH BENIGN QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND EXITING HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE, ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TODAY. UNDER CLEAR SKIES, EXPECT HIGHS TODAY TO BE SEVERAL
DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY, IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID-60S AREAWIDE.
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC AND OFF OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY
TODAY, SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST, AND THEN FURTHER TO THE
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT, USHERING IN A WARMER, MORE MOIST AIRMASS FROM
OFF OF THE GULF. SLOWLY REBOUNDING MOISTURE WILL PREVENT
TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING QUITE AS MUCH TONIGHT, WITH SUNDAY
MORNING LOWS IN THE MID-30S TO LOWER 40S.
TO ROUND OFF THE WEEKEND, A WEAK FRONT RIDING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF A STRONGER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM NOSING SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MIDWEST WILL CLIP THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. VERY LOW-END (15-20%) CHANCES FOR
LIGHT RAINFALL AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER ARE ALL THAT IS EXPECTED
FROM THE GLANCING BLOW. CURRENTLY NOT FORECASTING ANY MEANINGFUL
ACCUMULATION, AND IT'S POSSIBLE THAT ONLY SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE IS
REALIZED FOR AREAS WEST OF THE METRO. WITH MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING
IN BEHIND THE FRONT, ANY RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BE CONTAINED WITHIN THE
DAYBREAK TO MIDDAY TIMEFRAME, AND MOST WILL REMAIN COMPLETELY DRY.
HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER STILL, GENERALLY IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70 --
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2025
THE BULK OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY ABNORMALLY
WARM TEMPERATURES FOR DECEMBER ALONGSIDE CONTINUED MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS. THE EXCEPTION TO THE VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE AT
THE START OF THE WEEK ON MONDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL BRING CAD-LIKE EASTERLY FLOW AND KEEP
HIGH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL IN THE 50S TO LOW 60S.
BEYOND MONDAY, THE BIG WARMUP BEGINS AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING BUILDS
IN EARNEST AND BECOMES ANCHORED ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE TEMPERATURES SOME 15-20 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL, BRINGING HIGHS IN THE 70S FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE
AREA BY CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS DAY. IN FACT, LOW TEMPERATURES
IN THE 50S WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL LATE DECEMBER HIGHS. WHILE
CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS ARE STILL A COUPLE DEGREES BELOW THE RECORDS
FOR CHRISTMAS EVE AND CHRISTMAS DAY, AT THE VERY LEAST WE'RE LIKELY
LOOKING AT A TOP 5 WARMEST CHRISTMAS ON RECORD FOR THE AREA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO START THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. A FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE ATL AREA SITES AND CSG AROUND 10-12Z SUNDAY AND BRING CHANCES
FOR LOW VFR TO MVFR CIGS. GUIDANCE HAS BACKED OFF ON THE MVFR
CIGS MAKING IT INTO THE ATL AREA, BUT HAVE KEPT IT IN THE TAFS FOR
NOW. THERE IS A VERY LOW (~10%) CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AS THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. CIGS IMPROVE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT
PUSHES SOUTH. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT TURN NW AT 3-6KTS BEHIND THE
FRONT, AND THEN FLIP OUT OF THE NE TO E AFTER 00Z THIS EVENING.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CIGS. HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 37 56 40 65 / 0 0 10 10
ATLANTA 42 58 45 66 / 0 0 10 10
BLAIRSVILLE 33 52 37 60 / 0 0 20 20
CARTERSVILLE 40 58 45 67 / 0 0 10 10
COLUMBUS 48 63 46 70 / 10 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 37 54 42 63 / 0 0 10 10
MACON 43 62 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 39 60 47 69 / 0 0 10 10
PEACHTREE CITY 42 60 43 68 / 10 0 0 10
VIDALIA 42 64 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...CULVER
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