026
FXUS62 KFFC 080738
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
238 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 229 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
- DENSE FOG IS LIKELY UNTIL 10AM WITH VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER
MILE OR LESS IN SOME SPOTS.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY AS MUCH AS 10 TO 25 DEGREES
CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY. A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY
FALL THROUGH SATURDAY.
- REPEATED ROUNDS OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA FRIDAY
EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-3" WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4-5" WILL BE POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTH
GEORGIA. SOME FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING COULD OCCUR.
- THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 229 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
RINSE AND REPEAT FORECAST FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AREAS
OF DENSE FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAIN OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GEORGIA THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 10AM (POSSIBLY
UNTIL 11AM IN SOME AREAS). HREF PROBS INDICATE THAT MUCH OF THE
FAR NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA ARE UNLIKELY TO SEE DENSE
FOG CONDITIONS, BUT WILL CONTINUE MONITORING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING CLOUDY SKIES TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH SE WINDS
TAKING OVER AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON FRIDAY.
THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION AND PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION SPEAK
MORE TO THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BEGINNING TOMORROW NIGHT BUT I
WILL MENTION THAT SPC HAS INCLUDED THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK
OVER MUCH OF NW GA AND WPC HAS INCLUDED MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA
(NORTH OF THE METRO) IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
RAINFALL WILL BE MORE OF A CONCERN IN OUR AREA AS WE SEE
POTENTIALLY UP TO 3" OVER THE NORTHER PORTIONS OF OUR AREA
THROUGH THE EVENT. RIDGING AND OVERALL ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND WAA TO ENTER THE AREA. TEMPS TODAY AND
TOMORROW WILL REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WHICH WILL BE AROUND 20-25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WILL BE ON
RECORD WATCH AS AHN, ATL, AND MCN WILL BE WITHIN A COUPLE OF
DEGREES FROM THE RECORD HIGHS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOW 50S ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 229 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
THE LONG TERM PICKS UP ON SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO
MOVE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE IT'S STILL A LITTLE TOO FAR OUT TO GET A
GOOD IDEA OF HOW MUCH PROGRESS THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, MOST MID RANGE MODELS
INDICATED THAT ONGOING HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY FOR THE NW PORTIONS OF
THE CWA. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY
ON SATURDAY UNTIL THE FRONT CAN FINALLY CATCH UP IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO BE UNIMPRESSIVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
SURFACE BASED CAPE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER 500 J/KG; EVEN IN THE
MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL RUNS. SHEAR WILL BE THE BIG QUESTION, AMD THE
BIGGER CONCERN. THE NAM IS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR 70KTS OF 0-6KM
SHEAR. TO SUM IT ALL UP, THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. A FEW
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AND IN THIS ENVIRONMENT A FEW STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE STRONG TO SEVERE BUT THE PICTURE ON HOW IT'S GOING TO PLAY
OUT IS STILL COMING IN TO FRAME.
AFTER THE FRONT MOVES BY SUNDAY, SOME AREAS COULD SEE UP TO 4 INCHES
OF RAIN, WITH THE MAIN AXIS OF PRECIP ACROSS NW GEORGIA. MOST OF THE
CWA REMAINS IN SOME FORM OF DROUGHT, SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONCERNS
ARE LOW BUT SOME URBAN AREAS COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST AS IT UNFOLDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
BY THE TIME MONDAY ROLLS AROUND, DRY AIR WILL HAVE SETTLED ACROSS
THE AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALLS INTO THE 20 AND
30S AND DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN WE GET, WE COULD SEE SOME
ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. FIRE AND ICE WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN THROUGH MUCH WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO COLD
OVERNIGHT LOWS WITH VALUES AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE WORK
WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 113 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
FOG AND LOW STRATUS AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFR
CONDITIONS FROM 9-13Z. VSBYS COULD REACH TO 1/4SM IN PLACES WHERE
DENSE FOG DEVELOPS. EXPECTING BKN VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. POTENTIAL FOR LOW STRATUS AGAIN TOMORROW
MORNING BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE E AND STAY
THIS WAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY, GENERALLY AT 7-8KT OR
LESS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON VSBYS.
LOW TO MEDIUM ON FOG/LIFR FRIDAY MORNING.
MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 68 56 74 62 / 10 10 40 60
ATLANTA 69 58 73 63 / 10 10 40 70
BLAIRSVILLE 63 51 64 55 / 10 20 70 90
CARTERSVILLE 69 59 71 61 / 10 10 60 80
COLUMBUS 73 56 77 64 / 10 0 20 40
GAINESVILLE 66 56 70 61 / 10 20 50 80
MACON 74 56 79 60 / 10 0 10 20
ROME 74 61 72 63 / 10 10 80 90
PEACHTREE CITY 70 56 73 63 / 10 10 30 60
VIDALIA 76 58 81 62 / 10 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR GAZ001-002-
011-012-019>021-030>034-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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