136
FXUS62 KFFC 081746
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1246 PM EST THU JAN 8 2026
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1236 PM EST THU JAN 8 2026
- DENSE FOG IS LIKELY UNTIL 10AM WITH VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER
MILE OR LESS IN SOME SPOTS.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY AS MUCH AS 10 TO 25 DEGREES
CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY. A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY
FALL THROUGH SATURDAY.
- REPEATED ROUNDS OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA FRIDAY
EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-3" WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4-5" WILL BE POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTH
GEORGIA. SOME FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING COULD OCCUR.
- THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 229 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
RINSE AND REPEAT FORECAST FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AREAS
OF DENSE FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAIN OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GEORGIA THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 10AM (POSSIBLY
UNTIL 11AM IN SOME AREAS). HREF PROBS INDICATE THAT MUCH OF THE
FAR NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA ARE UNLIKELY TO SEE DENSE
FOG CONDITIONS, BUT WILL CONTINUE MONITORING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING CLOUDY SKIES TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH SE WINDS
TAKING OVER AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON FRIDAY.
THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION AND PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION SPEAK
MORE TO THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BEGINNING TOMORROW NIGHT BUT I
WILL MENTION THAT SPC HAS INCLUDED THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK
OVER MUCH OF NW GA AND WPC HAS INCLUDED MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA
(NORTH OF THE METRO) IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
RAINFALL WILL BE MORE OF A CONCERN IN OUR AREA AS WE SEE
POTENTIALLY UP TO 3" OVER THE NORTHER PORTIONS OF OUR AREA
THROUGH THE EVENT. RIDGING AND OVERALL ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND WAA TO ENTER THE AREA. TEMPS TODAY AND
TOMORROW WILL REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WHICH WILL BE AROUND 20-25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WILL BE ON
RECORD WATCH AS AHN, ATL, AND MCN WILL BE WITHIN A COUPLE OF
DEGREES FROM THE RECORD HIGHS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOW 50S ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 229 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026
THE LONG TERM PICKS UP ON SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO
MOVE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE IT'S STILL A LITTLE TOO FAR OUT TO GET A
GOOD IDEA OF HOW MUCH PROGRESS THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, MOST MID RANGE MODELS
INDICATED THAT ONGOING HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY FOR THE NW PORTIONS OF
THE CWA. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY
ON SATURDAY UNTIL THE FRONT CAN FINALLY CATCH UP IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO BE UNIMPRESSIVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
SURFACE BASED CAPE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER 500 J/KG; EVEN IN THE
MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL RUNS. SHEAR WILL BE THE BIG QUESTION, AMD THE
BIGGER CONCERN. THE NAM IS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR 70KTS OF 0-6KM
SHEAR. TO SUM IT ALL UP, THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. A FEW
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AND IN THIS ENVIRONMENT A FEW STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE STRONG TO SEVERE BUT THE PICTURE ON HOW IT'S GOING TO PLAY
OUT IS STILL COMING IN TO FRAME.
AFTER THE FRONT MOVES BY SUNDAY, SOME AREAS COULD SEE UP TO 4 INCHES
OF RAIN, WITH THE MAIN AXIS OF PRECIP ACROSS NW GEORGIA. MOST OF THE
CWA REMAINS IN SOME FORM OF DROUGHT, SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONCERNS
ARE LOW BUT SOME URBAN AREAS COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST AS IT UNFOLDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
BY THE TIME MONDAY ROLLS AROUND, DRY AIR WILL HAVE SETTLED ACROSS
THE AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALLS INTO THE 20 AND
30S AND DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN WE GET, WE COULD SEE SOME
ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. FIRE AND ICE WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN THROUGH MUCH WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO COLD
OVERNIGHT LOWS WITH VALUES AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE WORK
WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM EST THU JAN 8 2026
CONDITIONS ARE VFR ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA, WITH SCATTERING CLOUDS BETWEEN 035-050. CONDITIONS HAVE
BEEN SLOW TO IMPROVE AT CSG, WHICH IS ANTICIPATED TO BE IFR FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
LATE TONIGHT BETWEEN 03-05Z AND STEADILY LOWER THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. THESE MVFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY FRIDAY, AND IFR WILL POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH IN THE MORNING
BETWEEN 09-15Z. FOG WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN EAST GA IN THE EARLY
MORNING, INCLUDING AHN/MCN, BUT PATCHY FOG COULD BE OBSERVED AS
FAR WEST AS PDK/ATL AS WELL. CHANCES FOR -SHRA WILL STEADILY
INCREASE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SE AT 4-8 KTS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING, SHIFTING TO SW AT
16Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON EARLY MORNING IFR AND FOG.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 68 56 74 62 / 10 10 50 70
ATLANTA 69 58 73 63 / 10 10 60 70
BLAIRSVILLE 63 51 64 55 / 0 20 80 90
CARTERSVILLE 69 59 71 61 / 0 10 80 90
COLUMBUS 73 56 77 64 / 10 0 20 40
GAINESVILLE 66 56 70 61 / 0 20 70 80
MACON 74 56 79 60 / 10 0 10 20
ROME 74 61 72 63 / 0 20 80 90
PEACHTREE CITY 70 56 73 63 / 10 10 50 70
VIDALIA 76 58 81 62 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...KING
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