107
FXUS62 KFFC 201945
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
245 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE TO NEAR-RECORD TEMPERATURES AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
REST OF TODAY:
A SOUTHEAST US VERSION OF A DRYLINE MOVED THROUGH NORTH GA THIS
MORNING AND HAS STALLED OUT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GA. NORTH OF THIS
FRONT IS A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WITH BREEZY NW WINDS, WHILE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT IS A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WITH BREEZY SW
WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR ARE PREVENTING ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THIS AREA,
THOUGH WE COULD STILL SEE A STRONG STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE VERY WARM, WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE AREA. DAILY RECORD HIGHS WILL LIKELY BE SET AT ALL SITES.
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT:
A SHORTWAVE SLIDING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT WILL AID
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW ALONG THE PORTION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT OVER MS/AL. IN RESPONSE, SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER GEORGIA WILL STRENGTHEN, PUSHING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
CENTRAL GA BACK INTO NORTH GA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT FROM TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH
PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THE
SEVERE THREAT LIMITED, BUT WE COULD STILL SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS
WITH GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE
FRONT GETS PUSHED BACK SOUTH INTO CENTRAL GA FROM LATE SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF DIURNAL HEATING,
AMPLE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES, AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS, WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADO
BEING THE MOST LIKELY. SPC HAS THIS AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL
1 OF 5) FOR NOW, BUT THIS COULD BE UPGRADED LATER ON. ACTIVITY
WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE STATE AND SOME DRIER AIR STARTS
TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE
STATE, ALONG THE NC COASTLINE. ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL BE
EXITING THE GA COAST WITH SOME LINGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS
SE GA. EXPECTING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SUNDAY BUT THE BIGGEST ISSUE
WILL BE THE STRONG NW WINDS BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
WILL SEE WIND SPEEDS IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE WITH GUST TO 30MPH
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THIS STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
USHER IN A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WHICH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING
WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEEN TO UPPER 20S ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GA. BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUN NIGHT/MON MORNING MAY
CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO STAY ON THE COOL SIDE WITH MONDAYS TEMPS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THESE TEMPS WILL BE BETWEEN 15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NE GA MAY STRUGGLE TO GET
ABOVE FREEZING MONDAY.
TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST PERIOD OF THE WEEK,
WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S, AND TEENS ACROSS THE N GA
MOUNTAINS. ALSO...BY TUESDAY MORNING A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BE CENTERED ALONG THE MS/AL COAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THINGS DRY BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY
IT WILL ALSO HELP TO WARM THINGS UP. HIGH TEMPS TUE GET UP INTO
THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS WED MAINLY IN THE 60S (50S ACROSS NE
GA).
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SKC ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA FOLLOWING THE
FRONT THAT IS STALLING OUT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GA. MVFR TO PATCHY
IFR CIGS MOVE BACK IN AFTER 00Z TONIGHT AS THE FRONT LIFTS BACK
NORTH, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG IT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. COULD SEE A COUPLE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL GA. NW WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME VARIABLE
AROUND 3-6KTS AFTER 00Z, AND REMAIN THAT WAY ON SATURDAY UNTIL
TURNING OUT OF THE NW BY SATURDAY EVENING.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
CULVER
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
RECORDS FOR 02-20
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 78 1986 37 2015 57 2018 14 2015
1991
KATL 78 1986 32 1901 58 2018 16 2015
1934
KCSG 80 1986 36 2015 63 1991 21 2015
1917
KMCN 80 1991 37 2015 61 1961 18 2015
1986
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 55 67 44 54 / 60 80 40 10
ATLANTA 56 67 41 51 / 70 80 40 0
BLAIRSVILLE 46 64 33 44 / 50 50 30 0
CARTERSVILLE 51 68 39 50 / 70 50 30 0
COLUMBUS 63 76 44 56 / 60 90 50 0
GAINESVILLE 52 67 41 51 / 60 60 30 0
MACON 62 75 45 57 / 70 90 60 10
ROME 53 72 40 54 / 70 40 20 0
PEACHTREE CITY 57 70 41 52 / 70 80 40 0
VIDALIA 65 80 51 61 / 50 90 80 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...CULVER
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