851
FXUS62 KFFC 210600
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
100 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1255 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
REST OF TODAY:
A SOUTHEAST US VERSION OF A DRYLINE MOVED THROUGH NORTH GA THIS
MORNING AND HAS STALLED OUT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GA. NORTH OF THIS
FRONT IS A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WITH BREEZY NW WINDS, WHILE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT IS A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WITH BREEZY SW
WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR ARE PREVENTING ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THIS AREA,
THOUGH WE COULD STILL SEE A STRONG STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE VERY WARM, WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE AREA. DAILY RECORD HIGHS WILL LIKELY BE SET AT ALL SITES.
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT:
A SHORTWAVE SLIDING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT WILL AID
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW ALONG THE PORTION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT OVER MS/AL. IN RESPONSE, SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER GEORGIA WILL STRENGTHEN, PUSHING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
CENTRAL GA BACK INTO NORTH GA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT FROM TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH
PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THE
SEVERE THREAT LIMITED, BUT WE COULD STILL SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS
WITH GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE
FRONT GETS PUSHED BACK SOUTH INTO CENTRAL GA FROM LATE SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF DIURNAL HEATING,
AMPLE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES, AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS, WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADO
BEING THE MOST LIKELY. SPC HAS THIS AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL
1 OF 5) FOR NOW, BUT THIS COULD BE UPGRADED LATER ON. ACTIVITY
WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE STATE AND SOME DRIER AIR STARTS
TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE
STATE, ALONG THE NC COASTLINE. ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL BE
EXITING THE GA COAST WITH SOME LINGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS
SE GA. EXPECTING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SUNDAY BUT THE BIGGEST ISSUE
WILL BE THE STRONG NW WINDS BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
WILL SEE WIND SPEEDS IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE WITH GUST TO 30MPH
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THIS STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
USHER IN A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WHICH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING
WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEEN TO UPPER 20S ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GA. BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUN NIGHT/MON MORNING MAY
CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO STAY ON THE COOL SIDE WITH MONDAYS TEMPS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THESE TEMPS WILL BE BETWEEN 15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NE GA MAY STRUGGLE TO GET
ABOVE FREEZING MONDAY.
TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST PERIOD OF THE WEEK,
WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S, AND TEENS ACROSS THE N GA
MOUNTAINS. ALSO...BY TUESDAY MORNING A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BE CENTERED ALONG THE MS/AL COAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THINGS DRY BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY
IT WILL ALSO HELP TO WARM THINGS UP. HIGH TEMPS TUE GET UP INTO
THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS WED MAINLY IN THE 60S (50S ACROSS NE
GA).
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1255 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR
IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
MOST PROBABLE IN CENTRAL GEORGIA BETWEEN 16Z TODAY AND 03Z SUNDAY.
MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA
BETWEEN 10Z AND 16Z TODAY. A MIX OF NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS
(2 TO 8 KT) ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 04Z SUNDAY, THEN GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL DEVELOP. PEAK GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 35 KT ARE EXPECTED
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z SUNDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE OCCURRENCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 10Z AND
14Z TODAY.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE WIND AND CEILING FORECASTS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ON AND OFF RAIN SHOWERS TODAY.
ALBRIGHT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 43 52 28 44 / 50 10 0 0
ATLANTA 40 49 28 42 / 50 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 32 42 19 34 / 40 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 37 49 25 42 / 40 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 43 54 29 47 / 70 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 40 49 27 41 / 50 0 0 0
MACON 45 55 29 47 / 70 10 0 0
ROME 39 52 29 46 / 40 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 40 51 26 43 / 60 0 0 0
VIDALIA 51 61 30 49 / 80 20 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...ALBRIGHT
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