138
FXUS62 KFFC 220530
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1230 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1226 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
- NOTICEABLY COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY NIGHT.
- DRY AND/OR BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO FIRE DANGER CONCERNS
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, THOUGH
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING ONSET/CESSATION TIMING AND
IMPACTS (I.E. HEAVY RAINFALL).
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS IS PUSHING
SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA AT THIS TIME. THE
ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THIS LINE HAS HAD INSOLATION AND MODEST
DESTABILIZATION, SO WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A COUPLE MORE
STORMS DEVELOP WITHIN THE LINE BEFORE IT EXITS THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA (CWA) IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HAZARDS FROM STORMS THAT MANAGE
TO EMERGE IN THIS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WOULD INCLUDE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
LOW-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IN THE WAKE OF THE LINE HAS BEGUN TO SCATTER
OUT, ALLOWING MUCH OF THE CWA TO WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S.
BIG CHANGES WILL BE AFOOT OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW (SUNDAY). A
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BARREL THROUGH THE REGION, DRIVING
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE, NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY OVERNIGHT, APPROACHING 20 MPH SUSTAINED
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY,
PORTIONS OF THE CWA MAY MEET THE WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLD FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS (>20 MPH) WITH ISOLATED AREAS MEETING THE
THRESHOLD FOR GUSTS (>35 MPH). THUS, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A
SUBSEQUENT SHIFT WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY.
THIS PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALSO BRING STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION
(CAA), EVIDENCED BY OVERNIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID-30S FOR PARTS OF NORTH AND
WEST GEORGIA. SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND WEST GEORGIA, WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST GEORGIA (WHERE COOLER AIR ARRIVES LATER).
CAA WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING, WITH LOWS
IN THE 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2026
BY DAYBREAK MONDAY WE WILL BE STILL DEALING WITH GUSTY NW WINDS
WITH MORNING LOW TEMPS IN THE TEENS AND 20S ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA. THERE IS ALSO MOST MOISTURE ROTATING AROUND THE BACK
SIDE OF THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW
ENGLAND COAST EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH OUT OF KY ACROSS TN. THIS
MOISTURE WILL COME CLOSE TO THE NORTH GA BORDER BUT WE SHOULD ONLY
SEE INCREASED CLOUD COVER. IF THINGS CHANGE WE COULD SEE SO ME
SNOW ACROSS NORTH GA WITH TEMPS AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF
THE DAY. THINGS BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT MON EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE TX/LA AREA. TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE
THE COLDEST PERIOD OF THE WEEK, WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
20S, AND TEENS ACROSS THE N GA MOUNTAINS. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BE CENTERED ALONG THE MS/AL COAST
TUE MORNING AND CONTINUE MOVING EAST THROUGH WED/THU. THIS RIDGE
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THINGS DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BUT MORE
IMPORTANTLY IT WILL ALSO HELP TO WARM THINGS UP. HIGH TEMPS TUE
GET UP INTO THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS WED MAINLY IN THE 60S (50S
ACROSS NE GA).
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST OF FL WEDNESDAY
ALLOWING A DEVELOPING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE UPPER MS RIVER
VALLEY TO MOVE SE INTO THE REGION. THIS FRONT WILL BRING INCREASED
PRECIP CHANCES TO GA WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT. RIGHT NOW JUST
LOOKING AT SHOWERS AND SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS
SYSTEM BUT WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON HOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THIS NEXT SYSTEM. TEMPS STAY FAIRLY WARM THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY FREEZING OR FROZEN PRECIP.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA BY 12Z TODAY. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MOVE IN
AS THE RAIN CONCLUDES. WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 40 KT
RANGE ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 09Z TODAY AND 06Z MONDAY. AREAS OF MVFR
AND LIFR CEILINGS WILL END IN EASTERN GEORGIA BY 11Z, THEN SKIES
WILL BECOME CLEAR STATE WIDE AFTER 16Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS OF THE KATL TAF.
ALBRIGHT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 26 43 24 53 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 26 40 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 17 33 16 49 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 23 40 21 53 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 27 46 24 56 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 25 40 24 51 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 27 46 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 27 45 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 24 42 22 54 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 29 47 26 55 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...ALBRIGHT
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