742
FXUS62 KFFC 222015
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
315 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 300 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TOMORROW (MONDAY), PROMPTING A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING FOR HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS.
- HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AND
TUESDAY.
- THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL COME
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
WINDY & COLDER THROUGH MONDAY:
A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR ALL
OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA). SUSTAINED WINDS ARE GENERALLY
RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 30 TO 40 MPH.
WHEN COUPLED WITH THE COOLER AIR SPILLING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST,
TEMPERATURES LARGELY FEEL LIKE THE 30S AND 40S. COLD AIR ADVECTION
(CAA) WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT, DRIVING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE
20S (WITH TEENS IN THE MOUNTAINS). CONTINUED GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL
MAKE FOR WIND CHILLS RANGING FROM AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO TO
A FEW DEGREES BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING MONDAY. AS
A RESULT, A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO
10 AM MONDAY. WHILE NOT QUITE AS COLD, MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING WILL BRING WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO.
POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON MONDAY:
A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED FOR TOMORROW AS SMALLER
FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT AMID BREEZY CONDITIONS. WHILE NOT AS
GUSTY AS TODAY HAS BEEN, SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE
FROM 10 TO 18 MPH AND GUSTS FROM 20 TO 28 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FORECAST TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED, BUT AT THIS TIME,
MINIMUM VALUES ARE FORECAST TO STAY ABOVE 25% FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THE SOUTHEAST WILL REMAIN UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND DRY,
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE MID-LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO
WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS, WITH MODERATION
OF THE AIRMASS (AND A SHIFT TO WARM, MOIST, SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS) ALLOWING A STARK WARMING TREND TO BEGIN, CONTINUING
THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED. PRE-WIND SHIFT, DEWPOINTS ON
TUESDAY WILL STILL BE IN THE TEENS (AND PERHAPS EVEN SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST GEORGIA), SO CARE WILL NEED TO BE TAKEN TO
MONITOR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR POTENTIAL FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
ISSUANCE DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE 50S
AREAWIDE, RISING INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 ON WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL BE THE COOLEST OF THE EXTENDED, DROPPING INTO THE
MID-TO-UPPER 30S. CONVERSELY, LOWS THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE WARM
UNDER INSULATING CLOUDY SKIES, IN THE LOW-TO-MID 50S -- AS MUCH AS
10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
MOVING INTO THURSDAY, A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND RESULTANT SURFACE
LOW WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE PLAINS AND INTO THE MIDWEST, DEEPENING
AT IT GOES. AN ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL TREK
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEEK, BRINGING WITH IT OUR NEXT
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN DISAGREEMENT REGARDING THE STRENGTH AND
PLACEMENT OF KEY SURFACE FEATURES, BUT WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES
SEEM PLAUSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHEST
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE SKEWED TO THE NORTH, PERHAPS UP TO 1.5"
OVER 48 HOURS ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA.
EXPECT CLEARING AND DRYING POST-FRONT, SUPPORTIVE OF MILD AND
PLEASANT CONDITIONS TO ROUND OFF THE WEEK AND START THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS EACH DAY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S, AND SUNDAY IS POISED TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE EXTENDED
-- TOPPING OUT IN THE 70S AREAWIDE. LOWS EACH MORNING WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 30S TO NEAR 50.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2026
FEW TO BKN STRATO-CU BETWEEN ~4 KFT AND ~6 KFT REMAIN ACROSS
NORTH GEORGIA, NORTH OF THE ATLANTA AREA TERMINALS AND AHN. THIS
CLOUD COVER MAY SURGE SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT, BUT CLOUD BASES SHOULD
REMAIN ~4 KFT AT THE LOWEST (AND FEW TO SCT). GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW (MONDAY). AT ATL,
SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS ~22 KTS AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS ~40 KTS
WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY UNTIL AROUND SUNSET, AFTER WHICH POINT
WINDS AND GUSTS SHOULD RELAX BY SOME 5-10 KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 25 44 23 53 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 25 41 24 53 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 17 34 15 50 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 22 41 20 53 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 27 46 24 55 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 24 41 24 51 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 27 47 23 55 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 27 45 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 24 43 22 54 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 29 48 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...MARTIN
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