844
FXUS62 KFFC 241904
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
204 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 152 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
- HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH THIS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING.
- MORE SEASONABLE CONDITIONS TOMORROW, WITH A WARMING TREND
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL COME THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
THE STEADY STREAM OF POST-FRONTAL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE MID-
LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE BASE OF
A BROADER TROUGH SETTLES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN US. CONCURRENTLY, THE
CENTER OF OUR PRESIDING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLIDE TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST, SETTLING ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF. IN
ITS WAKE, A BAROCLINIC ZONE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT --
THE CATALYST FOR OUR NEXT ROUND OF MEANINGFUL RAINFALL CHANCES
LATER THIS WEEK -- WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THE COMBINED
EFFECTS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURES (AND RESULTANT MOISTURE
RETURN) WILL SUPPORT SEASONABLE WARMTH AND INCREASINGLY CLOUDY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AS THE SHIFT FROM DRY, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO WARM, MOIST
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR GRADUALLY OVER THE COURSE OF
THE DAY TODAY, WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH ONLY MILD IMPROVEMENTS IN
DEWPOINTS (AND THUS COMPARABLY LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY THAN
YESTERDAY) NECESSITATED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ISSUANCE FOR ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. EXERCISE CAUTION IF
BURNING OUTDOORS.
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE MUCH WARMER THAN YESTERDAY, IN THE 50S
AREAWIDE. WARMER STILL ON WEDNESDAY, RISING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S -- CLOSE TO AVERAGE FOR LATE FEBRUARY.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS (25% OR LESS) WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN ACROSS
FAR NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES NORTHERN TENNESSEE. TOTALS WILL BE MARGINAL IF NOT
NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING (<0.1"), WITH THE BRUNT OF
RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
THE EXTENDED FORECAST BEGINS THURSDAY WITH A SHORT WAVE PUSHING SE
OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THE MOVEMENT OF THIS WAVE/DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW WILL HELP
PUSH THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER TN INTO NORTH GA. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY FINALLY EXITS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWER ACROSS CENTRAL GA SAT
MORNING. WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY WARM THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK, THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL REMAIN ALL RAIN SHOWERS. RIGHT
NOW, WERE NOT SEEING MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY OR DYNAMICS WITH
THIS NEXT SYSTEM SO KEEPING MAINLY SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THREAT. THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTALS (THU/FRI/SAT) ARE
FORECAST TO BE HIGHEST ACROSS NORTH GA RANGING FROM 1.5" TO 2", WITH
PROGRESSIVELY LOWER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST (0.75 TO 1.5") AS
FRONTAL FORCING WEAKENS.
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL
SYSTEM KEEPING THINGS MOSTLY DRY SAT AND SUN. THERE WILL BE SOME
MINIMAL MOISTURE PUSHING IN AROUND THE RIDGE MON SO WE SHOULD SEE
MOSTLY INCREASED CLOUD COVER BUT HAVE INTRODUCES A 20% CHANCE OF
SHOWERS MON.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
PRIMARILY VFR CONDS TO CONTINUE. FEW-SCT CIRRUS AT 20-25KFT TO
LINGER INTO THE EVENING. EXPECT GRADUAL LOWERING TO SCT-BKN LOW-
VFR BY EARLY AFTN WEDNESDAY. LOW-END CHC FOR BKN MVFR CIG MID-
MORNING WEDNESDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW FOR TAF
MENTION. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE W AT 5-8KTS, BECOMING
BREEZIER AT 10-12KTS WITH OCNL GUSTS TO 20-25KTS BY 14-15Z
TOMORROW.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE CEILING PROGRESSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 35 62 52 66 / 0 10 40 80
ATLANTA 37 62 53 66 / 0 10 40 80
BLAIRSVILLE 32 54 45 60 / 0 20 70 80
CARTERSVILLE 35 62 51 66 / 0 10 50 80
COLUMBUS 36 69 55 72 / 0 0 30 60
GAINESVILLE 35 59 51 63 / 0 10 50 80
MACON 35 68 55 71 / 0 0 20 70
ROME 39 64 54 70 / 0 10 60 80
PEACHTREE CITY 36 64 52 68 / 0 0 40 70
VIDALIA 35 70 55 73 / 0 0 10 50
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...96
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