541
FXUS62 KFFC 250534
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1234 AM EST WED FEB 25 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1222 AM EST WED FEB 25 2026
- AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTROMS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
THE STEADY STREAM OF POST-FRONTAL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE MID-
LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE BASE OF
A BROADER TROUGH SETTLES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN US. CONCURRENTLY, THE
CENTER OF OUR PRESIDING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLIDE TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST, SETTLING ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF. IN
ITS WAKE, A BAROCLINIC ZONE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT --
THE CATALYST FOR OUR NEXT ROUND OF MEANINGFUL RAINFALL CHANCES
LATER THIS WEEK -- WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THE COMBINED
EFFECTS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURES (AND RESULTANT MOISTURE
RETURN) WILL SUPPORT SEASONABLE WARMTH AND INCREASINGLY CLOUDY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AS THE SHIFT FROM DRY, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO WARM, MOIST
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR GRADUALLY OVER THE COURSE OF
THE DAY TODAY, WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH ONLY MILD IMPROVEMENTS IN
DEWPOINTS (AND THUS COMPARABLY LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY THAN
YESTERDAY) NECESSITATED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ISSUANCE FOR ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. EXERCISE CAUTION IF
BURNING OUTDOORS.
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE MUCH WARMER THAN YESTERDAY, IN THE 50S
AREAWIDE. WARMER STILL ON WEDNESDAY, RISING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S -- CLOSE TO AVERAGE FOR LATE FEBRUARY.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS (25% OR LESS) WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN ACROSS
FAR NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES NORTHERN TENNESSEE. TOTALS WILL BE MARGINAL IF NOT
NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING (<0.1"), WITH THE BRUNT OF
RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
THE EXTENDED FORECAST BEGINS THURSDAY WITH A SHORT WAVE PUSHING SE
OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THE MOVEMENT OF THIS WAVE/DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW WILL HELP
PUSH THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER TN INTO NORTH GA. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY FINALLY EXITS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWER ACROSS CENTRAL GA SAT
MORNING. WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY WARM THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK, THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL REMAIN ALL RAIN SHOWERS. RIGHT
NOW, WERE NOT SEEING MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY OR DYNAMICS WITH
THIS NEXT SYSTEM SO KEEPING MAINLY SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THREAT. THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTALS (THU/FRI/SAT) ARE
FORECAST TO BE HIGHEST ACROSS NORTH GA RANGING FROM 1.5" TO 2", WITH
PROGRESSIVELY LOWER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST (0.75 TO 1.5") AS
FRONTAL FORCING WEAKENS.
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL
SYSTEM KEEPING THINGS MOSTLY DRY SAT AND SUN. THERE WILL BE SOME
MINIMAL MOISTURE PUSHING IN AROUND THE RIDGE MON SO WE SHOULD SEE
MOSTLY INCREASED CLOUD COVER BUT HAVE INTRODUCES A 20% CHANCE OF
SHOWERS MON.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM EST WED FEB 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH
10Z WEDNESDAY. PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS (1500 TO 3000 FT AGL) WILL BE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10Z AND 17Z WEDNESDAY. A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED AFTER 00Z THURSDAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 15Z, PRIMARILY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
GEORGIA. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 18
TO 28 KT EXPECTED BETWEEN 14Z AND 23Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE CEILING AND PRECIPITATION FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL OTHER ELEMENTS OF THE TAF.
ALBRIGHT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 52 66 53 66 / 40 90 80 50
ATLANTA 53 66 53 67 / 40 90 80 40
BLAIRSVILLE 45 60 46 65 / 70 90 60 20
CARTERSVILLE 51 66 50 68 / 50 90 70 30
COLUMBUS 55 72 57 71 / 20 80 90 70
GAINESVILLE 51 63 52 66 / 50 90 70 30
MACON 55 71 57 70 / 20 80 90 80
ROME 54 70 52 73 / 60 90 70 20
PEACHTREE CITY 52 68 53 68 / 30 80 90 50
VIDALIA 55 73 59 73 / 10 60 60 90
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...ALBRIGHT
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