035
FXUS62 KFFC 261755
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1255 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1243 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
- WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
- DRY AND MILD WEATHER RETURNS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA OVER
THE WEEKEND.
- LOW-END RAIN CHANCES AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD OCCUR NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 AM EST THU FEB 26 2026
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AS A COLD FRONT AND
SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES CONSPIRE TO GENERATE LIFT. WHILE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY SHOULD EXIST FOR STORMS, NARROW CAPE PROFILES AND
NEARLY SATURATED SOUNDINGS SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH. MEANWHILE
LINEAR SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK.
WITH THESE CONSIDERATIONS IN MIND THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STRONGER
STORMS SHOULD BE WIND GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 45 MPH RANGE DUE TO
PRECIPITATION LOADING. THUNDERSTORM TIMING IS A BIT CHALLENGING TO
PIN DOWN AS THE FRONT WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY AND DIURNAL HEATING WILL
BE DAMPENED BY CLOUD COVER. FOR THE ATLANTA METRO PEAK STORM CHANCES
ARE PROBABLY BETWEEN 11 AM AND 4 PM, WHILE IN MACON AND COLUMBUS THE
WINDOW IS PROBABLY CLOSER TO 5 PM TO 11 PM. BY FRIDAY MORNING RAIN
AMOUNTS OF 0.40 TO 0.80 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN NORTH GEORGIA, WITH
0.70 TO 2.00 INCHES POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL GEORGIA.
THE FRONT SHOULD STAGNATE OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
ON FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW AMPLE CLOUD COVER AND A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE FRONTS POSITION TO OUR
SOUTH SHOULD KEEP THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABLE AND PREVENT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. SINCE THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE NEARLY
IDENTICAL TO THE ONE AHEAD OF IT, TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL TOP OUT
IN THE 60S ON FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 AM EST THU FEB 26 2026
RAIN SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. EXACTLY WHERE AND HOW LONG ACTIVITY
LINGERS WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
BY MID-DAY SATURDAY, SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM THE NW AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES IN BACK INTO THE REGION. MOSTLY DRY AND MILD
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S EACH AFTERNOON AND
LOWER TO THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S EACH NIGHT.
BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND GLOBAL ENSEMBLES INDICATE THE RETURN OF RAIN
BY MONDAY LASTING THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE
ALSO SIGNALS OF A POTENTIAL CAD WEDGE SETTING UP ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST WHICH MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE IN
NORTHEAST GA. SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, RAIN CHANCES WERE
CAPPED AT 20-30% FOR NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE LACK OF CONSISTENCY AMONG
GLOBAL MODELS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND MVFR-IFR CIGS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TO
START THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. COULD SEE A FEW STORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION, WITH THE MOST LIKELY TIMING BEING
BETWEEN NOW AND 00Z FOR ATL AREA AND AHN, THEN 02-06Z FOR MCN AND
CSG. ROUNDS OF SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A MIX OF
MVFR TO LIFR CIGS AND PERIODS OF LOW VIS REMAINING IN PLACE
THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z FRIDAY. SW WINDS GUSTING TO 20KTS THROUGH
00Z, THEN WINDS BECOME LIGHT AMD VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM TIMING, CIG TRENDS, AND WINDS.
LOW CONFIDENCE IN VIS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 65 53 63 46 / 90 40 20 10
ATLANTA 66 52 66 48 / 90 70 20 10
BLAIRSVILLE 61 45 63 41 / 90 20 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 67 50 67 46 / 80 40 10 0
COLUMBUS 72 56 70 52 / 80 80 50 20
GAINESVILLE 65 50 62 46 / 90 20 20 10
MACON 71 57 68 52 / 80 80 70 20
ROME 71 50 72 47 / 90 30 10 0
PEACHTREE CITY 68 53 67 48 / 90 80 30 10
VIDALIA 73 59 70 54 / 50 80 90 50
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...CULVER
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