395
FXUS62 KFFC 261952
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
252 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 250 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
- WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
- DRY AND MILD WEATHER RETURNS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA OVER
THE WEEKEND.
- LOW-END RAIN CHANCES AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD OCCUR NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 210 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ACTIVELY PUSHING EAST
ACROSS THE I-20 CORRIDOR OF NORTH-CENTRAL GA AS OF EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY AND STRAIGHT SPEED SHEAR,
THERE IS A NEAR ZERO THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THE LINE,
THOUGH WE COULD SEE ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AS IT CONTINUES TO
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS CONVECTION WAS KICK-
STARTED BY THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES THAT WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CAM GUIDANCE CONTINUES
TO SHOW ANOTHER SURGE IN SHOWERS AND STORMS REDEVELOPING ALONG THE
I-20 CORRIDOR STARTING LATE AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY PUSHING SOUTH
THROUGH THE EVENING AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IMPULSE PUSHES THROUGH
THE REGION. THIS WILL ALSO START TO PUSH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THROUGH THE AREA THAT WILL ACT AS THE FOCUS POINT FOR CONVECTION.
THE MOST ROBUST OF THE SHORTWAVES WILL START TO DROP ACROSS MS/AL
OVERNIGHT, REINFORCING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE FRONT, PRIMARILY ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
BY SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING, THE SHORTWAVE WILL START TO MOVE
ACROSS GEORGIA, WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS FOCUSED ALONG THE SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GA. DRY AND STABLE AIR
WILL FILL IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SHORTWAVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY,
WITH ONLY A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
GA. MORNING TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL WARM TO THE MID TO UPPER
60S BY THE AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED RANGE ON SATURDAY, THE
STALLED/SLOWLY MOVING BOUNDARY THAT SUPPORTED A RAINY END TO THE
WORK WEEK WILL HAVE CLEARED NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, SETTING THE
STAGE FOR DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. UNSEASONABLE WARMTH
WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S ON SATURDAY. SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER STILL, IN THE MID-TO-UPPER
70S, WITH SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF 80.
BY MONDAY, FLOW AT THE MID-LEVELS BECOMES QUASI-ZONAL, WITH A
STRONG (1039+ MB) SURFACE HIGH MOVING INTO PLACE ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND. AS IT DOES SO, THE U-SHAPED ISOBARS CHARACTERISTIC OF THE
WEDGE BEGIN TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD ALONG THE LEE SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS. COMPARABLY COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE TYPICAL
WEDGE REGIME AREAS (GENERALLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE I-75/I-20
INTERCHANGE), WITH IMPACTS STRONGEST ON TUESDAY -- HIGHS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 50S WITHIN THE WEDGE AIRMASS, RISING INTO THE
60S TO NEAR 70 OUTSIDE OF IT.
GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY FROM THE WEST AROUND THE SAME TIME THE
WEDGE AIRMASS BUILDS IN, AND INTERPLAY BETWEEN THESE FEATURES MAY
SUPPORT RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK. DISCREPANCIES
REMAIN REGARDING THE STRENGTH AND PLACEMENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
BOUNDARY, SO HAVE CAPPED POPS AT 20-30% TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR BOTH THE DRIER (ENS) AND WETTER (GEFS) SOLUTION TO
PAN OUT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND MVFR-IFR CIGS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TO
START THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. COULD SEE A FEW STORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION, WITH THE MOST LIKELY TIMING BEING
BETWEEN NOW AND 00Z FOR ATL AREA AND AHN, THEN 02-06Z FOR MCN AND
CSG. ROUNDS OF SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A MIX OF
MVFR TO LIFR CIGS AND PERIODS OF LOW VIS REMAINING IN PLACE
THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z FRIDAY. SW WINDS GUSTING TO 20KTS THROUGH
00Z, THEN WINDS BECOME LIGHT AMD VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM TIMING, CIG TRENDS, AND WINDS.
LOW CONFIDENCE IN VIS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 52 64 49 68 / 60 30 20 0
ATLANTA 53 66 51 68 / 70 30 20 0
BLAIRSVILLE 44 64 43 68 / 20 10 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 49 69 47 71 / 40 10 10 0
COLUMBUS 57 69 53 71 / 90 60 30 0
GAINESVILLE 51 64 49 69 / 40 20 10 0
MACON 57 68 54 69 / 90 70 30 10
ROME 49 73 49 76 / 40 0 10 0
PEACHTREE CITY 54 68 50 68 / 80 40 20 0
VIDALIA 59 67 55 68 / 80 90 50 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...CULVER
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