122
FXUS62 KFFC 170205 AAB
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1005 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
..EVENING UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 930 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
- LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS UNTIL
AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT, WITH SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE AS FAR SOUTH
AS METRO ATLANTA. NO IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE EXPECTED.
- WIDESPREAD SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWING A STRONG COLD FRONT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE LATE THIS WEEK, WITH HIGHS RETURNING
TO THE 70S ON FRIDAY AND THE 80S THIS WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 930 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
SNOW FLURRIES AND SNOW SHOWERS HAVE LARGELY ENDED ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA THIS EVENING, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PERHAPS THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS, WHERE LOW CLOUDS AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT
MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SNOW FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. GUSTY WINDS
AND WARM SUB-SURFACE ROAD TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE BLACK ICE
FROM FORMING, SO TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
THE WIND ADVISORY AND FREEZE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM
TUESDAY AND 10 AM TUESDAY, RESPECTIVELY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG MID LEVEL ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. IMPRESSIVE DYNAMIC COOLING UNDERWAY BEHIND THE
FRONT ALLOWING FOR PRECIP TO CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX TO ALL
SNOW ACROSS NORTH GA THIS AFTERNOON. PER HRRR INIT, 925 TEMPS
FALLING TO -3C, 850 TEMPS TO -7C, AND 700 TEMPS FALLING TO -12 TO -15C
WITH STRONG ASCENT IN THE SATURATED 700 TO 500MB LAYER. HAVE
ISSUED A WWA FOR NORTH AND NW GA THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE BROAD AREA
OF SNOW. GROUND AND ROAD TEMPS WELL INTO THE UPPER 40S AND 50S SO
WE ARE NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD IMPACTS ON ROAD SURFACES,
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE SNOW RATES, GRASSY OR ELEVATED SURFACES COULD
SEE SOME ACCUMS. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE BROAD PRECIP SHIELD,
THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS MUCH LIKE WHAT WE
GET IN WINTER NW FLOW SETUPS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF
SWINGING THROUGH. I.E. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SATURATED
UP TO 850MB COMBINED WITH LOW SBCAPE VALUES. HI RES CAMS RUNS ALL
IN AGREEMENT OF SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS HENCE THE WWA AND SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
THROUGH 11PM.
BEYOND THE PRECIP... EXPECT FREEZING TEMPS AREA WIDE BY
MORNING... WITH LOW 20S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS. FREEZE WARNING
IN EFFECT AND MAY NEED ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. WIND ADVISORY
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WINDS GUSTING TO 35MPH INTO THE EVENING. WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX BY LATE TONIGHT.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
COLD START TO THE LONG TERM WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE
20S ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPS SLOWLY CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 70S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CAUSE FOR
THE RISING TEMPS END OF WEEK WILL BE AN EXPANSION OF THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS PUTTING US IN NW FLOW
ALOFT. THANKFULLY FLOW IS WEAK AND WILL KEEP THE STORM TRACK TO
THE NORTH... FOR NOW.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
CIGS HAVE LIFTED TO LOW-VFR THIS EVENING AS PRECIP HAS LARGELY
ENDED ACROSS N AND CNTRL GEORGIA. CIGS ARE LIKELY TO SCATTER OUT
SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT, WITH WINDS DECREASING TO 10-15 KTS AND GUSTS
LARGELY DROPPING OFF. SUSTAINED WNW TO NW WINDS WILL STAY IN THIS
RANGE TOMORROW (TUESDAY) WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20-25 KTS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW, WITH FEW/SCT CU AROUND 5 KFT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 28 47 28 52 / 20 0 0 0
ATLANTA 29 47 32 53 / 10 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 19 39 19 49 / 20 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 26 46 27 55 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 30 52 30 56 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 27 45 29 52 / 20 0 0 0
MACON 30 52 29 55 / 10 0 0 0
ROME 29 50 30 60 / 10 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 27 48 28 54 / 10 0 0 0
VIDALIA 33 53 32 57 / 20 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>084-089>096-102>107.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...MARTIN
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