047
FXUS62 KFFC 170528
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
128 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 123 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS UNTIL
AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT, WITH SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE AS FAR SOUTH
AS METRO ATLANTA. NO IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE EXPECTED.
- WIDESPREAD SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWING A STRONG COLD FRONT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE LATE THIS WEEK, WITH HIGHS RETURNING
TO THE 70S ON FRIDAY AND THE 80S THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG MID LEVEL ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. IMPRESSIVE DYNAMIC COOLING UNDERWAY BEHIND THE
FRONT ALLOWING FOR PRECIP TO CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX TO ALL
SNOW ACROSS NORTH GA THIS AFTERNOON. PER HRRR INIT, 925 TEMPS
FALLING TO -3C, 850 TEMPS TO -7C, AND 700 TEMPS FALLING TO -12 TO -15C
WITH STRONG ASCENT IN THE SATURATED 700 TO 500MB LAYER. HAVE
ISSUED A WWA FOR NORTH AND NW GA THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE BROAD AREA
OF SNOW. GROUND AND ROAD TEMPS WELL INTO THE UPPER 40S AND 50S SO
WE ARE NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD IMPACTS ON ROAD SURFACES,
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE SNOW RATES, GRASSY OR ELEVATED SURFACES COULD
SEE SOME ACCUMS. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE BROAD PRECIP SHIELD,
THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS MUCH LIKE WHAT WE
GET IN WINTER NW FLOW SETUPS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF
SWINGING THROUGH. I.E. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SATURATED
UP TO 850MB COMBINED WITH LOW SBCAPE VALUES. HI RES CAMS RUNS ALL
IN AGREEMENT OF SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS HENCE THE WWA AND SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
THROUGH 11PM.
BEYOND THE PRECIP... EXPECT FREEZING TEMPS AREA WIDE BY
MORNING... WITH LOW 20S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS. FREEZE WARNING
IN EFFECT AND MAY NEED ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. WIND ADVISORY
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WINDS GUSTING TO 35MPH INTO THE EVENING. WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX BY LATE TONIGHT.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
COLD START TO THE LONG TERM WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE
20S ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPS SLOWLY CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 70S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CAUSE FOR
THE RISING TEMPS END OF WEEK WILL BE AN EXPANSION OF THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS PUTTING US IN NW FLOW
ALOFT. THANKFULLY FLOW IS WEAK AND WILL KEEP THE STORM TRACK TO
THE NORTH... FOR NOW.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 123 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH FEW/SCT 4-5
KFT CU POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN
NW, LARGELY AT 8-12 KTS THROUGH MORNING, AND GUSTS 20-25 KTS WILL
RETURN BY 15-16Z. SPEEDS WILL SETTLE BACK TO 3-6 KTS AFTER 00Z
WEDNESDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 28 52 31 64 / 10 0 0 0
ATLANTA 32 53 36 66 / 10 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 19 49 28 62 / 10 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 27 55 32 67 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 30 56 34 68 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 29 52 33 64 / 10 0 0 0
MACON 29 55 33 66 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 30 60 36 70 / 10 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 28 54 32 67 / 10 0 0 0
VIDALIA 32 57 35 67 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>084-089>096-
102>107.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-
102>113.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...RW
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