932
FXUS62 KFFC 031951
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 347 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, MAINLY IN CENTRAL AND EAST GEORGIA.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL BETWEEN
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, THOUGH FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR SUBSTANTIAL DROUGHT IMPROVEMENT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES COOLING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
REST OF TODAY/TONIGHT:
AS A WELCOME CHANGE, BENEFICIAL RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOSSOM WITH COVERAGE
FOCUSED PRIMARILY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA AS SUBTLE
DISTURBANCE PUSHES NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
ATLANTIC RIDGE. COVERAGE WILL GENERALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET,
THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA.
SATURDAY:
SATURDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER HUMID, SUMMERY DAY AMID CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW. DIURNALLY-ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
WILL BE HIGHER BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE BEGINS TO
SHUNT EASTWARD COURTESY OF THE INCOMING TROUGH. IN THE SAME VEIN OF
A SUMMER AFTERNOON, A FEW STRONGER PULSE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS
MUCAPE REACHES 1000-1500 J/KG, BRINGING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY:
THE ATTENTION BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL
BE AN ONGOING LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INCOMING
COLD FRONT. CAMS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS CONVECTION REACHES
NORTHWEST GEORGIA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND PROGRESSES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY. FORTUNATELY, GIVEN THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY
MORNING TIME FRAME, FORECAST INSTABILITY IS QUITE WEAK, GENERALLY ON
THE ORDER OF <500 J/KG MUCAPE, WHICH WILL HELP TO GREATLY LIMIT ANY
SEVERE THREAT ALONGSIDE BOTH MIDLEVEL AND SURFACE SUPPORT BEING
DISPLACED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION. AS SUCH, WHILE AN INITIAL
STRONGER STORM WITH GUSTY WINDS CAN'T BE RULED OUT, NO SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED.
WITH THIS TIME FRAME NOW IN THE VIEW OF CAMS, THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA,
AS A SIGNAL FOR LOCALIZED 1.5-2+" RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING HAS INCREASED. GIVEN THE ONGOING DROUGHT, THIS RAINFALL
WOULD LARGELY BE BENEFICIAL AND APPRECIATED, THOUGH LOCALIZED
STREET/NUISANCE PONDING COULD ARISE. BY SUNRISE SUNDAY, BOTH
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY AND RAINFALL RATES WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD
TREND.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
AND OHIO VALLEY REGION ON SUNDAY. AS THE MORNING BEGINS, A COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL BE POSITIONED NEAR THE I-85
CORRIDOR, WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ONGOING AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AS THIS FRONT CONTINUES
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY, TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL RISE INTO THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S WHILE HIGHS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WITHIN THE WARM AND
AND MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SBCAPE VALUES WILL INCREASE TO
500-1000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WEAKENING
DYNAMICS AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL INHIBIT THE
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER, THOUGH A COUPLE OF STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING,
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HIGHEST IN AREAS OF NORTH
GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF I-85. HERE, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 1-1.5 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2
INCHES AT THE RIDGETOPS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY
LOWER AS ONE GOES FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST OF I-85, REFLECTING THE
WEAKENING OF THE FRONT. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS RAINFALL WILL NOT MAKE
MUCH OF A DENT IN ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL EXIT THE FORECAST AREA
TO THE SOUTHEAST BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL USHER IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS OVERNIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL LARGELY BE IN THE 40S IN
NORTH GEORGIA (AND UPPER 30S IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS) AND LOW TO
MID 50S IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ON
TUESDAY WITH REDUCED CLOUD COVER AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE
EASTERN CONUS TO THE NORTH OF THE GEORGIA BORDER, WITH HIGHS RISING
INTO THE MID 70S. GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, IT IS LOOKING
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT A CAD WEDGE WILL SET UP OVER NORTH GEORGIA
AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
DECREASED RAIN CHANCES (NEAR 0%) AND TEMPS IN THE MID TO 60S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 127 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING WITH CU IN THE 4-7
KFT RANGE. LOWER CIGS BECOME MORE LIKELY BY 08-09Z, INITIALLY
MVFR, WITH IFR CIG PROBABILITY ANTICIPATED TO PEAK IN THE 12-15Z
TIME FRAME BEFORE GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT. ISO SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE
AT MCN THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISO -SHRA ALSO POSSIBLE AT REMAINDER OF
SITES 09-13Z. SCT SHRA/TSRA COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHER SAT AFTER 18Z.
WINDS ARE PRIMARILY EXPECTED TO FAVOR SSE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TOMORROW MORNING, THOUGH COULD BRIEFLY MEANDER TO SSW AT TIMES,
BEFORE SSW BECOMES MORE FAVORED AFTER 18Z SATURDAY. SPEEDS 4-8
KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 80 63 73 / 40 60 70 90
ATLANTA 64 81 62 72 / 30 50 80 90
BLAIRSVILLE 58 75 54 67 / 30 60 100 80
CARTERSVILLE 63 83 56 71 / 20 50 90 80
COLUMBUS 63 85 63 75 / 20 50 50 80
GAINESVILLE 63 79 63 72 / 40 60 90 90
MACON 63 83 64 77 / 30 50 30 80
ROME 63 85 58 72 / 10 50 100 70
PEACHTREE CITY 62 83 62 72 / 30 40 70 90
VIDALIA 64 85 63 84 / 10 30 10 50
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...RW
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