622
FXUS62 KFFC 040605
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
205 AM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 154 AM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND FROM EARLY
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY, THOUGH FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE INSUFFICIENT
FOR SUBSTANTIAL DROUGHT IMPROVEMENT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES
COOLING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
REST OF TODAY/TONIGHT:
AS A WELCOME CHANGE, BENEFICIAL RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOSSOM WITH COVERAGE
FOCUSED PRIMARILY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA AS SUBTLE
DISTURBANCE PUSHES NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
ATLANTIC RIDGE. COVERAGE WILL GENERALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET,
THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA.
SATURDAY:
SATURDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER HUMID, SUMMERY DAY AMID CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW. DIURNALLY-ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
WILL BE HIGHER BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE BEGINS TO
SHUNT EASTWARD COURTESY OF THE INCOMING TROUGH. IN THE SAME VEIN OF
A SUMMER AFTERNOON, A FEW STRONGER PULSE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS
MUCAPE REACHES 1000-1500 J/KG, BRINGING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY:
THE ATTENTION BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL
BE AN ONGOING LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INCOMING
COLD FRONT. CAMS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS CONVECTION REACHES
NORTHWEST GEORGIA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND PROGRESSES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY. FORTUNATELY, GIVEN THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY
MORNING TIME FRAME, FORECAST INSTABILITY IS QUITE WEAK, GENERALLY ON
THE ORDER OF <500 J/KG MUCAPE, WHICH WILL HELP TO GREATLY LIMIT ANY
SEVERE THREAT ALONGSIDE BOTH MIDLEVEL AND SURFACE SUPPORT BEING
DISPLACED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION. AS SUCH, WHILE AN INITIAL
STRONGER STORM WITH GUSTY WINDS CAN'T BE RULED OUT, NO SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED.
WITH THIS TIME FRAME NOW IN THE VIEW OF CAMS, THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA,
AS A SIGNAL FOR LOCALIZED 1.5-2+" RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING HAS INCREASED. GIVEN THE ONGOING DROUGHT, THIS RAINFALL
WOULD LARGELY BE BENEFICIAL AND APPRECIATED, THOUGH LOCALIZED
STREET/NUISANCE PONDING COULD ARISE. BY SUNRISE SUNDAY, BOTH
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY AND RAINFALL RATES WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD
TREND.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
AND OHIO VALLEY REGION ON SUNDAY. AS THE MORNING BEGINS, A COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL BE POSITIONED NEAR THE I-85
CORRIDOR, WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ONGOING AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AS THIS FRONT CONTINUES
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY, TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL RISE INTO THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S WHILE HIGHS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WITHIN THE WARM AND
AND MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SBCAPE VALUES WILL INCREASE TO
500-1000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WEAKENING
DYNAMICS AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL INHIBIT THE
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER, THOUGH A COUPLE OF STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING,
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HIGHEST IN AREAS OF NORTH
GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF I-85. HERE, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 1-1.5 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2
INCHES AT THE RIDGETOPS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY
LOWER AS ONE GOES FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST OF I-85, REFLECTING THE
WEAKENING OF THE FRONT. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS RAINFALL WILL NOT MAKE
MUCH OF A DENT IN ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL EXIT THE FORECAST AREA
TO THE SOUTHEAST BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL USHER IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS OVERNIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL LARGELY BE IN THE 40S IN
NORTH GEORGIA (AND UPPER 30S IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS) AND LOW TO
MID 50S IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ON
TUESDAY WITH REDUCED CLOUD COVER AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE
EASTERN CONUS TO THE NORTH OF THE GEORGIA BORDER, WITH HIGHS RISING
INTO THE MID 70S. GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, IT IS LOOKING
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT A CAD WEDGE WILL SET UP OVER NORTH GEORGIA
AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
DECREASED RAIN CHANCES (NEAR 0%) AND TEMPS IN THE MID TO 60S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 154 AM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
INITIALLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR
TO IFR CIGS AND -RA DEVELOPING BY 10-12Z. THE LOW CIGS SLOWLY
IMPROVE BACK TO LOW-VFR BY 17-18Z. SCT SHRA AND TSRA DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES
OF TSRA FROM 20-00Z. -SHRA CONTINUE AFTER 00Z, WITH A RETURN OF
WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND -RA AFTER 06Z TONIGHT AS A FRONT
STARTS TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS GENERALLY OUT OF THE S
AROUND 4-8 KTS THROUGH THE DAY, TURNING SW TONIGHT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM FOR ALL ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 73 47 70 / 70 90 10 0
ATLANTA 62 72 48 69 / 80 90 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 54 67 39 67 / 100 80 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 56 71 44 69 / 90 80 0 0
COLUMBUS 63 75 50 72 / 50 80 10 0
GAINESVILLE 63 72 47 69 / 90 90 0 0
MACON 64 77 51 71 / 30 80 20 0
ROME 58 72 46 70 / 100 70 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 62 72 46 70 / 70 90 10 0
VIDALIA 63 84 58 74 / 10 50 40 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...CULVER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page