098
FXUS62 KFFC 041905
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
305 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 303 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, A FEW COULD BE STRONG.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN FAR NW GEORGIA.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES
COOLING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
ONE LAST DAY OF SUMMER LIKE CONDITIONS BEFORE WE GET A CHANGE IN
ATMOSPHERE TO FINISH OUT THE WEEKEND.
TODAY'S HIGHS HAVE CLIMBED BACK INTO THE 80S AND THE WINDS HAVE
TURNED SOUTHWEST. A WEAK BOUNDARY ACROSS WESTERN GA COULD BE THE
SOURCE FOR SOME LIFT THAT MIGHT SPARK A FEW THUNDERSTORMS; MOSTLY
ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE ON THE
STRONGER SIDE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STORM MOTION
WILL GENERALLY BE TOWARDS THE NE OUT AHEAD OF A MORE POTENT COLD
FRONT THAT'S EXPECTED TO ENTER THE CWA AROUND MIDNIGHT.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE TO THE
WEST OF OUR CWA. SPC HAS PAINTED THE NW CORNER OF GA WITH A MARGINAL
RISK (1 OF 4) BUT ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY ORIGINATE FROM
OUTSIDE OUR CWA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH GEORGIA THROUGH THE
NIGHT TONIGHT AND EXIT THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
DESPITE HOW MUCH WE NEED THE RAIN, THIS FRONT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE IT'S
GOING TO CONTAIN THE RAINFALL WE NEED TO BE A DROUGHT BUSTER. QPF
TOTALS MAY BE AS HIGH AS AN INCH ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA, BUT
MOST OF THE CWA WILL LESS LESS THAN A HALF AN INCH. AFTER THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH, WE'RE LOOKING AT ANOTHER LONG DRY STRETCH
THAT WILL TAKE US INTO THE LONG TERM FORECAST.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
BY THE TIME THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS ON MONDAY, THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE EXITED THE FORECAST AREA TO THE
SOUTHEAST. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL USHER IN
A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE
NEAR TO JUST ABOVE DAILY NORMALS. LOWS WILL START OUT IN THE 40S IN
NORTH GEORGIA (AND UPPER 30S IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS) AND LOW TO
MID 50S IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL THEM CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ON
TUESDAY, AT WHICH TIME A SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
TO THE NORTH OF THE GEORGIA BORDER, RESULTING IN HIGHS RISING INTO
THE MID 70S. DRIER AIR SPREADING INTO THE AREA WILL ALSO RESULT IN
RH VALUES RANGING FROM 25-35% ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. SOME LOCATIONS
IN EAST GEORGIA COULD ALSO SEE VALUE DROP BELOW 25% FOR A COUPLE OF
HOURS EACH AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE 8-12 MPH AND WELL
OUTSIDE OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. HOWEVER, WITH DRYING FUELS AND
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, THE NEED FOR FIRE
DANGER STATEMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED EACH DAY.
GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, A CAD WEDGE WILL SET UP OVER
NORTH GEORGIA AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO E AT 12-15MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25-30MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL
ALSO REFLECT THE WEDGE WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUE RISING
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE HIGH PRESSURE REGIME WILL LARGELY
LIMIT RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH POPS OF 20% OR
LESS BEING CONFINED TO THE FAR SOUTHERN TIER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 137 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY BEFORE A FRONT WITH
TSRA MOVES INTO THE METRO AREA AFTER 18Z. THERE COULD BE A FEW OBS
OF LOW VFR BETWEEN 17-20Z; BUT MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVAILING.
AFTER 00Z EXPECT -SHRA UNTIL 10Z. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TURN TO THE
W/NW THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT LESS THAN 10KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 72 46 70 / 60 90 10 0
ATLANTA 62 71 48 70 / 70 90 10 0
BLAIRSVILLE 54 65 37 68 / 90 80 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 55 70 42 70 / 90 80 0 0
COLUMBUS 63 73 48 71 / 30 80 20 0
GAINESVILLE 62 71 45 71 / 80 80 10 0
MACON 64 77 50 71 / 20 80 20 0
ROME 57 72 45 73 / 90 80 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 61 72 44 70 / 60 80 10 0
VIDALIA 64 85 57 74 / 10 50 40 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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