069
FXUS62 KFFC 231748 AAA
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
148 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HAZY SKY WILL PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY
AS WILDFIRE SMOKE MOVES NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, LEADING TO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 209 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026
WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES:
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS UNTIL A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STARTS MOVING INTO THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S EACH
MORNING, AND THEN CLIMB TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S EACH AFTERNOON.
SKIES WILL BE GENERALLY CLOUD-FREE ASIDE FROM SOME AFTERNOON FAIR
WEATHER CUMULUS, HOWEVER, SMOKE DRIFTING NORTHWARD FROM THE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA WILDFIRES WILL CREATE SOME HAZE AND OBSCURE
VISIBILITY AT TIMES. SPEAKING OF WILDFIRES, RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
DROP TO THE 20-30% RANGE ACROSS THE AREA EACH AFTERNOON, WHICH
WILL COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO CREATE FIRE DANGER CONCERNS. THUS,
A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8PM TODAY FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA, AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REFERENCE THEIR LOCAL SHERIFF OR FIRE
DEPARTMENTS FOR INFORMATION ON BURN RESTRICTIONS, AND USE CAUTION
IF DOING ANY OUTDOOR BURNING.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 209 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026
A LARGE-SCALE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE
UNDERWAY AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. AS THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE CLEARS GEORGIA TO THE
EAST, A CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL EXTEND
TROUGHING TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AS THE TROUGH ROTATES
NORTHEAST AROUND THE LOW, IT WILL DRIVE A SURFACE LOW THROUGH THE
UPPER MIDWEST, WHICH IN TURN WILL ADVANCE A COLD FRONT TOWARDS
NORTH GEORGIA. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES, NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL
ENTER THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST OVERNIGHT AND
OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA. WITH LINGERING DIURNAL INSTABILITY ON FRIDAY
EVENING AND LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ANTICIPATED AMID THE SHOWERS. ON SATURDAY, THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AND FORCING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH
AS IT SINKS INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA, WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE
SCATTERED. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST
TO RISE INTO THE MOD TO UPPER 70S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-85
CORRIDOR AND INTO THE 80S TO THE SOUTH (AND UPPER 80S IN EAST-
CENTRAL GEORGIA. HOWEVER, WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT
PROGGED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK AND FORCING DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON, IT APPEARS THAT CONDITIONS WILL NOT ALIGN FOR A
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER, ISOLATED STORMS COULD
STILL BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WHERE PARAMETERS ARE ABLE TO COME TOGETHER. SUCH STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
ON SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL STALL IN SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AND A
WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL QUICKLY PASS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA,
WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES REBOUND INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
IN ALL BUT THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. THE INFLUENCE OF THIS
RIDGE WILL ALSO HELP LIMIT POPS TO 20% OR LESS IN NORTH GEORGIA,
THOUGH POPS OF 25-40% WILL REMAIN IN AREAS SOUTH OF COLUMBUS AND
MACON IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AND WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE
GREATER. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AS
THE RIDGE IS DISPLACED FURTHER AWAY TO THE NORTH AND A MID-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVERRUNS THE STALLED FRONT. LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY,
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
ADVANCE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDWEST, WITH ANOTHER
COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY. WITH A WARM AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AND MORE ROBUST SHEAR PROFILES COMPARED TO SATURDAY, THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NEED
TO BE MONITORED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.5" NORTH OF I-85, WITH
PROGRESSIVELY DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO
ABOUT 0.5" IN EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHERE STRONGER STORMS OCCUR.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 125 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
NO CIG RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SMOKE
FROM WILDFIRES IN S GEORGIA AND N FLORIDA HAS REMAINED ALOFT THUS
FAR TODAY, SO NOT EXPECTING REDUCTIONS IN VIS DUE TO HZ AT THE TAF
SITES. DIURNALLY-DRIVEN SCT CU AROUND 7 KFT HAS DEVELOPED TODAY
AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW (FRIDAY) AFTERNOON. LIGHT SW WINDS
(AROUND 3-6 KTS) WILL GIVE WAY TO LIGHT/VRB TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL REMAIN SW AT 4-8 KTS TOMORROW.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 85 56 84 60 / 0 0 0 20
ATLANTA 84 60 84 63 / 0 0 0 40
BLAIRSVILLE 79 51 78 55 / 10 0 10 50
CARTERSVILLE 84 56 86 60 / 0 0 0 60
COLUMBUS 84 58 86 61 / 0 0 0 30
GAINESVILLE 83 59 83 62 / 0 0 0 40
MACON 86 57 86 61 / 0 0 0 10
ROME 85 55 86 60 / 0 0 10 70
PEACHTREE CITY 84 56 85 60 / 0 0 0 40
VIDALIA 88 59 88 63 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...MARTIN
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