483
FXUS62 KFFC 240550
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
150 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HAZY SKY WILL PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY
AS WILDFIRE SMOKE MOVES NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, LEADING TO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, BUT DECENT RAINFALL MAY
IMPROVE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MAINTAIN WARM, DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH TOMORROW (FRIDAY). FAIR-WEATHER CUMULUS HAS
DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA) DUE TO VERY DRY
VEGETATION AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ANOTHER FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WILL BE NEEDED FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REFERENCE
THEIR LOCAL SHERIFF OR FIRE DEPARTMENTS FOR INFORMATION ON BURN
RESTRICTIONS OR BURN BANS.
WILDFIRE SMOKE HAS BEEN VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY TODAY, BUT
HAS REMAINED ALOFT, EVIDENCED BY A LACK OF SURFACE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS AND REPORTS OF HAZE. WEAK LOW-LEVEL/MID-LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST TOMORROW, SO A HAZY SKY WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA AS WILDFIRE SMOKE CONTINUES TO PUSH
NORTHWARD OUT OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. SHOWERS
AND POTENTIALLY STORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHWEST GEORGIA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, WHICH
WILL BEGIN TO SCOUR OUT REMAINING SMOKE OVER THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
A MUCH NEEDED CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS ON THE HORIZON. BY
SAT MORNING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HAVE MOVED INTO NW GA
WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SE ACROSS THE AREA.
THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AND FORCING AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH AS IT SINKS INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA, WITH
PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE SCATTERED. HIGH TEMPS SAT AFTERNOON
WILL GET UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-85
CORRIDOR AND INTO THE 80S TO THE SOUTH. HOWEVER, WITH LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT PROGGED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK AND FORCING
DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON, IT APPEARS THAT CONDITIONS WILL NOT
ALIGN FOR A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. WILL SEE MAINLY
GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP.
ON SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL QUICKLY PASS NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA, WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO REBOUND INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
IN ALL BUT THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. THE INFLUENCE OF THIS
RIDGE WILL ALSO HELP LIMIT POPS TO 20% OR LESS ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA, THOUGH POPS OF 25-40% WILL REMAIN FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
COLUMBUS AND MACON. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
MONDAY AS THE RIDGE IS DISPLACED FURTHER AWAY TO THE NORTH AND A
MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVERRUNS THE STALLED FRONT. LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL ADVANCE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDWEST, WITH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH A WARM AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE, AND
MORE ROBUST SHEAR PROFILES COMPARED TO SATURDAY, THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY ARE
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.5" NORTH OF I-85, WITH PROGRESSIVELY
DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO ABOUT 0.5" IN
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE
STRONGER STORMS OCCUR.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 129 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
VFR CONDS TO CONTINUE THRU THE TAF PD. FEW-SCT CU AT 6-8KFT WILL
TAPER BACK IN BY 15-16Z, ACCOMPANIED PRIMARILY BY HIGH CIRRUS AT
10-25KFT. SOME HIRES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY LOW-END (SUB 15%)
CHCS FOR ISOLD CONVECTION EAST OF THE METRO THIS AFTERNOON (FROM
17Z ON THRU SUNSET), BUT CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW FOR TAF
MENTION. CHCS FOR -SHRA WILL THUS RE- ENTER THE FCST FOR NORTHERN
TAF SITES LATE PD (GENERALLY 08Z OR LATER) CAPTURED BY A PROB30,
AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOW-VFR VSBYS IN BR. WINDS WILL REMAIN
OUT OF THE SW AT 4-8KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 60 80 57 83 / 10 70 50 20
ATLANTA 63 79 60 83 / 30 80 40 10
BLAIRSVILLE 55 74 51 79 / 30 90 30 10
CARTERSVILLE 60 80 55 83 / 40 90 30 10
COLUMBUS 61 83 60 86 / 20 70 60 20
GAINESVILLE 62 79 57 83 / 20 80 40 10
MACON 61 83 60 86 / 10 60 60 20
ROME 60 81 56 84 / 50 90 30 10
PEACHTREE CITY 60 81 58 84 / 30 80 50 20
VIDALIA 62 89 62 88 / 0 30 60 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...96
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