937
FXUS62 KFFC 250543
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
143 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HAZY SKY WILL PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS SMOKE CONTINUES TO SPREAD FROM WILDFIRES ACROSS
SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, BUT RAINFALL MAY IMPROVE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
THE FOLLOWING IS THE SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FROM THE
OVERNIGHT SHIFT, WITH MINIMAL TWEAKS:
THE FINAL VESTIGES OF OUR (EXITING) PERSISTENT SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE, AND LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING ALOFT, WILL SUPPORT A CLEAR,
WARM, AND DRY END TO THE WORK WEEK FOR MOST. SOME HIRES GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS SPOTTY/PATCHY COVERAGE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AS A
WEAK DISTURBANCE TRAVERSES MID-LEVEL FLOW, PRIMARILY FOR AREAS
ALONG AND EAST OF THE METRO. COVERAGE WILL BE SCANT IF ANYTHING
MATERIALIZES, BUT HAVE BLENDED IN SOME HREF AND ARW GUIDANCE TO
RAISE POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE (15%). HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO
THE 80S AREAWIDE, PERHAPS APPROACHING 90 ACROSS OUR FAR
SOUTHEASTERN TIER. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ON THE FAR WESTERN
EDGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD
HELP DIRECT WILDFIRE SMOKE OFFSHORE/PREVENT PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA FROM BEING SMOKED OUT TO THE EXTENT OF PREVIOUS
DAYS. MILKY AND HAZY SKIES AND PERHAPS DECREASED AIR QUALITY ARE
NEVERTHELESS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
UNDER RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW AS WILDFIRES CONTINUE TO BURN. MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN A GRADUAL REBOUND OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY FRIDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING MUCH-NEEDED RAIN CHANCES,
BUT A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO
DROP BELOW 30% THIS AFTERNOON. CONTINUE TO BE COGNIZANT OF (AND
HEED) ANY BURN RESTRICTIONS OR BANS AS VEGETATION REMAINS
ABNORMALLY DRY DUE TO ONGOING DROUGHT.
MOVING INTO SATURDAY, A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST,
AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
OUT AHEAD OF IT FROM MIDNIGHT ON. BEST CHANCES FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS APPEAR TO REMAIN WELL TO OUR WEST WHERE A DECAYING MCS IS
PROGGED TO DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS ALABAMA. CAMS SUGGEST
RELATIVELY ANEMIC INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT (SUB-250 J/KG) ALONG WITH
FAIRLY DISORGANIZED UPPER LEVEL FLOW (UNIMPRESSIVE HODOGRAPHS). IN
GENERAL, EXPECT A WAVE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO PUSH ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA THROUGH DAYBREAK, WITH COVERAGE INCREASING INTO THE
AFTERNOON FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE FRONT
FILTERS TO THE SOUTH. RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF A TENTH TO A HALF OF
AN INCH IS FORECAST THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY SATURDAY
EVENING, WITH "HIGHEST" AMOUNTS SKEWED NORTH AND WEST. HIGHS WILL BE
A FEW DEGREES COOLER ALONG AND NORTH OF I-85 (APPROXIMATE FRONTAL
PROGRESSION BEFORE PEAK HEATING IS REACHED), TOPPING OUT IN THE MID-
TO-UPPER 70S. ELSEWHERE, HIGHS WILL RISE INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 80S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA SUN AND MONDAY
AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM FROM
THE SHORT TERM. THIS BREAK IN THE INCOMING PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE
SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE/FRONT PUSHES INTO NW GA TUES MORNING.
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ADVANCE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE
MIDWEST, WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST.
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN
TO THE STATE TUE AND CONTINUE WED AS A SECOND WAVE MOVES IN FROM
THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. THIS SECOND WAVE RIDES ALONG THE TAIL
END OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT PUSHES IN TUE. THIS WAVE AND
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO NORTHERN FL BY THU MORNING WITH ANOTHER
DRY AIRMASS MOVING IN BEHIND IT. THINGS CLEAR OUT FOR DAY 7 BUT
LOOKS LIKE WE WILL STILL HAVE A FEW MORE DAYS OF PRECIP AS WE GET
INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS THE MODELS ARE SHOWING MORE WAVES
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. 7 DAY RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE IN THE 2" TO 3" RANGE ACROSS NW GA WITH 1" TO 2" TOTALS
ACROSS THE ATL/AHN AREAS. LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL
SEE 1" OR LESS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 104 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2026
VFR CONDS EXPECTED THRU DAYBREAK, THEN GRADUAL INTRUSION OF SCT-
BKN MVFR WITH INITIAL PUSH OF -SHRA CHCS. COVERAGE BEST CAPTURED
WITH A VCSH THRU EARLY AFTN. -SHRA WILL BE PATCHY/OFF AND ON
BEGINNING 17-18Z, WITH BEST WINDOW FOR DIRECT IMPACTS OF TSRA
19-01Z FOR NORTHERN TERMINALS. PCPN WILL TAPER OFF BY 01-02Z, WITH
PRIMARILY SCT-BKN CONVECTIVE DEBRIS AT 5-12KFT. LOW CIGS (MVFR TO
PERHAPS IFR) ARE PSBL AFT 06Z SUNDAY AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LOW- VFR VSBYS IN BR. WINDS INITIALLY CALM/VRB OVERNIGHT WILL PICK
UP OUT OF THE SW AT 4-8KTS BY 14-15Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE PRECIPITATION CHANCES/TIMING AND CEILING
PROGRESSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 58 83 54 78 / 50 20 10 0
ATLANTA 61 83 59 79 / 50 10 10 10
BLAIRSVILLE 52 78 49 75 / 40 20 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 56 82 55 81 / 40 10 10 10
COLUMBUS 61 85 60 84 / 70 20 10 10
GAINESVILLE 58 83 55 77 / 40 20 10 0
MACON 61 85 58 82 / 60 20 10 10
ROME 56 84 55 82 / 40 10 10 10
PEACHTREE CITY 58 83 56 82 / 60 10 10 10
VIDALIA 64 88 59 83 / 60 30 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...96
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