327
FXUS62 KFFC 141837
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
237 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
EAST GEORGIA THROUGH 8PM THIS EVENING DUE TO DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS POST-FRONT.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- MOST WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE MID-LEVELS AND
ADVANCING HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE, CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO ROUND OFF THE WORK WEEK. BREEZY WINDS WILL LINGER
THROUGH SUNSET, WITH HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER
80S (AND SOME LOCATIONS AT ELEVATION IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA REMAINING
IN THE 60S). THE COMBINATION OF ELEVATED NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS, DRY FUELS, AND FALLING DEWPOINTS HAS SUPPORTED THE ISSUANCE
OF A SHORT-FUSED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
EAST GEORGIA UNTIL 8PM THIS EVENING. SCANT IMPROVEMENTS IN OUR
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE NOTED THANKS TO WETTING RAIN OVER
THE PAST WEEK, BUT EXTRA CARE SHOULD BE TAKEN IF PLANNING TO BURN
OUTDOORS GIVEN ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.
FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE CRISP, MORE FALL-LIKE THAN SPRING-LIKE, WITH
LOWS IN THE MID-40S TO LOWER 50S. SURFACE WINDS WILL SLACKEN AND
SWING TO THE EAST, KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MORE MARGINAL.
EVEN SO, WILL NEED TO MONITOR DEWPOINT TRENDS FOR ANY DIPS BELOW
CURRENT THINKING. OTHERWISE, A NEAR CARBON-COPY OF TODAY, WITH HIGHS
JUST A FEW DEGREES WARMER -- IN THE MID-70S TO LOWER 80S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
LONG TERM WILL MOSTLY BE FOCUSED ON THE DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. BERMUDA HIGH SETTLES
BACK INTO THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL LIMIT ANY APPROACHING
FRONTS TO WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO FAR NORTH
GEORGIA ON SUNDAY BUT WITH A DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR, RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. AS THE RIDGING SETTLES IN TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
THEIR WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE
AREA EACH DAY NEXT WEEK WITH PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN CENTRAL
GEORGIA POTENTIALLY REACHING NEAR 90 DEGREES. LOWS EXPECTED TO ONLY
DIP DOWN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S MOST NIGHTS AS WELL WITH
TEMPERATURES AS A WHOLE 7-12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TOWARDS THE END
OF THE LONGTERM, THERE IS AN INDICATION THAT A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE AREA BRINGING IN RAINFALL WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IF THE FRONT
IS ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER. OVERALL THE 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS ARE
INDICATING A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
VFR AND PRIMARILY SKC TO CONTINUE THRU THE TAF PD WITH OCNL
INTRUSION OF FEW 20-25KFT CIGS AFT 14Z FRIDAY. WINDS INITIALLY
BREEZY OUT OF THE NW AT 8 TO 15KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25KTS WILL
SLACKEN OVERNIGHT (CALM/VRB AT TIMES), SHIFTING TO THE E AT 5-8KTS
BY 08-09Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 47 79 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 52 79 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 40 76 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 44 80 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 50 80 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 48 77 55 83 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 50 81 53 87 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 44 80 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 47 81 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 54 82 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...96
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