141
FXUS62 KFFC 150544
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
144 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- CONDITIONS MAY APPROACH FIRE DANGER CRITERIA FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- MOST WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE MID-LEVELS AND
ADVANCING HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE, CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO ROUND OFF THE WORK WEEK. BREEZY WINDS WILL LINGER
THROUGH SUNSET, WITH HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER
80S (AND SOME LOCATIONS AT ELEVATION IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA REMAINING
IN THE 60S). THE COMBINATION OF ELEVATED NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS, DRY FUELS, AND FALLING DEWPOINTS HAS SUPPORTED THE ISSUANCE
OF A SHORT-FUSED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
EAST GEORGIA UNTIL 8PM THIS EVENING. SCANT IMPROVEMENTS IN OUR
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE NOTED THANKS TO WETTING RAIN OVER
THE PAST WEEK, BUT EXTRA CARE SHOULD BE TAKEN IF PLANNING TO BURN
OUTDOORS GIVEN ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.
FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE CRISP, MORE FALL-LIKE THAN SPRING-LIKE, WITH
LOWS IN THE MID-40S TO LOWER 50S. SURFACE WINDS WILL SLACKEN AND
SWING TO THE EAST, KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MORE MARGINAL.
EVEN SO, WILL NEED TO MONITOR DEWPOINT TRENDS FOR ANY DIPS BELOW
CURRENT THINKING. OTHERWISE, A NEAR CARBON-COPY OF TODAY, WITH HIGHS
JUST A FEW DEGREES WARMER -- IN THE MID-70S TO LOWER 80S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
LONG TERM WILL MOSTLY BE FOCUSED ON THE DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. BERMUDA HIGH SETTLES
BACK INTO THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL LIMIT ANY APPROACHING
FRONTS TO WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO FAR NORTH
GEORGIA ON SUNDAY BUT WITH A DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR, RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. AS THE RIDGING SETTLES IN TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
THEIR WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE
AREA EACH DAY NEXT WEEK WITH PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN CENTRAL
GEORGIA POTENTIALLY REACHING NEAR 90 DEGREES. LOWS EXPECTED TO ONLY
DIP DOWN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S MOST NIGHTS AS WELL WITH
TEMPERATURES AS A WHOLE 7-12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TOWARDS THE END
OF THE LONGTERM, THERE IS AN INDICATION THAT A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE AREA BRINGING IN RAINFALL WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IF THE FRONT
IS ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER. OVERALL THE 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS ARE
INDICATING A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 143 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.
WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE NE AFTER 09Z AT LESS THAN 6KTS;
BECOMING SSW AFTER 20Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 53 86 61 88 / 0 0 0 10
ATLANTA 57 85 65 87 / 0 0 0 10
BLAIRSVILLE 51 80 58 83 / 0 0 0 20
CARTERSVILLE 53 86 61 88 / 0 0 0 20
COLUMBUS 55 86 63 88 / 0 0 0 10
GAINESVILLE 55 83 62 86 / 0 0 0 20
MACON 53 87 63 89 / 0 0 0 10
ROME 51 84 59 88 / 0 0 0 10
PEACHTREE CITY 53 86 61 88 / 0 0 0 10
VIDALIA 58 89 66 90 / 0 0 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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