058
FXUS62 KFFC 150812
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
412 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- CONDITIONS MAY APPROACH FIRE DANGER CRITERIA FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- MOST WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE BEST RAIN
CHANCES RETURNING MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF DRY WEATHER AS
WINDS SLOWLY SHIFT FROM NORTH TO SOUTHEAST OVER THE COURSE OF THE
DAY. MINIMUM RH WILL FALL TOWARDS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS
TODAY, BOTTOMING OUT AT AROUND 25%. TEMPS WILL BE MODERATED TO THE
LOW 80S AND UPPER 70S TODAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
FALLING INTO THE MID 50S.
COME SATURDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO BUILD AS SOUTHERLY FLOW
ESTABLISHES ITSELF. HIGH WILL RISE INTO THE MID 80S DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY WILL ALSO BE NOTICEABLY LESS DRY AS GULF MOISTURE IS PULLED
IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THAT BEING SAID, PRECIP ISN'T EXPECTED UNTIL
SUNDAY AT THE EARLIEST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA CONTINUES INTO THE EXTENDED PERIODS
KEEPING THINGS MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. IT
DOES BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOME BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BUT IT STILL
DOMINATES THE OVERALL PATTERN. THE BERMUDA HIGH SETTLES ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH MON/TUE WHICH WILL KEEP ANY APPROACHING
FRONTS/SHORTWAVES TO WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. THIS RIDGE DOES PUT GA
UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW WHICH WILL SLOWLY INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE
AREA. BY SUNDAY, WITH THE INCREASED TEMPS (UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S)
AND INCREASED MOISTURE WE MAY SEE AN ISOLATED DIURNALLY DRIVEN
SHOWER OR TWO. THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE RIDGE KEEPING THINGS
FAIRLY CAPPED ACROSS THE STATE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE LONGTERM,
THERE IS AN INDICATION THAT A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA BRINGING
IN RAINFALL TUE/WED IF THE FRONT IS ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER AND THE
RIDGE BREAKS DOWN. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS PATTERN TO SEE
JUST HOW STRONG THIS RIDGE ENDS UP BEING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 143 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.
WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE NE AFTER 09Z AT LESS THAN 6KTS;
BECOMING SSW AFTER 20Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 79 53 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 79 58 86 66 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 75 52 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 80 53 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 81 55 87 64 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 76 55 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 81 54 88 64 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 80 52 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 80 54 86 63 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 82 58 89 66 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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