657
FXUS62 KFFC 152320
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
720 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- THOUGH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY
INTO EARLY WEEK, THE BEST RAIN CHANCES HOLD OFF UNTIL MIDWEEK
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS
MID-LEVEL FLOW TRENDS QUASI-ZONAL AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES
EASTWARD. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND MORE SOLIDLY AS SURFACE
WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH (DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO RISE FROM THE LOWER
40S TODAY TO THE 50S TO LOWER 60S TOMORROW), WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY
MEANINGFUL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM BEING MET.
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY PLEASANT, IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SATURDAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER (BOTH MORNING AND
AFTERNOON): STARTING OFF IN THE MID-50S, AND RISING INTO THE MID-TO-
UPPER 80S AREAWIDE, WITH 90 NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST CENTRAL GEORGIA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE SITUATED ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
ATLANTIC RIDGE TO START THE LONG-TERM PERIOD. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL LEAD TO SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE RETURN BY SUNDAY, WITH PWATS
SURGING INTO THE 1-1.5" RANGE. AS SUCH, POPS HAVE TRENDED UPWARD ON
SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION FAVORED BEFORE DIMINISHING
AFTER SUNSET.
THIS SUMMER-LIKE PATTERN STICKS AROUND DURING THE EARLY WEEK WITH
MAINLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WHILE BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS COULD BE PUNCTUATED BY ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION IN THIS ENVIRONMENT, THE MORE SUSTAINED
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES/COVERAGE WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL MIDWEEK.
BY WEDNESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MAKING PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA, PROVIDING A BIGGER IMPETUS FOR INCREASED
RAIN CHANCES. WHILE TIMING IS INEXACT AT THIS JUNCTURE, THIS FRONT
LOOKS TO SLOWLY PUSH ACROSS THE STATE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY,
WITH POPS MAXIMIZED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WHILE ANY RAINFALL IS
CERTAINLY APPRECIATED, THIS WILL NOT BE A "DROUGHT-BUSTING" TYPE
EVENT BY ANY MEANS.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN PRIMARILY 5-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
LARGELY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 713 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE CALM TO VRB
OVERNIGHT PICKING UP FROM THE S TO SSW 4-6KTS AFTER 14Z. SKC TO
START WITH INCREASING COVERAGE OF SCT TO BKN HIGH CIRRUS ABOVE
15KFT AFTER 12Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
07
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 53 86 63 88 / 0 0 0 30
ATLANTA 58 85 66 88 / 0 0 0 40
BLAIRSVILLE 52 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 30
CARTERSVILLE 54 86 62 89 / 0 0 0 30
COLUMBUS 56 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 30
GAINESVILLE 55 84 63 86 / 0 0 0 30
MACON 55 89 65 89 / 0 0 0 40
ROME 52 85 60 88 / 0 0 0 20
PEACHTREE CITY 54 86 63 88 / 0 0 0 50
VIDALIA 58 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...07
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