518
FXUS62 KFFC 160859
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
459 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- THOUGH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY, THE BEST RAIN CHANCES HOLD OFF UNTIL MIDWEEK NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 458 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TOASTY TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY UNDER
GRADUALLY INCREASING CLOUDS. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10MPH AND HIGHS
WILL RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA. SOME OF
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA WILL ENJOY MORE MODERATE
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE 60S BEFORE ANOTHER WARM DAY
TOMORROW. SUNDAY WILL REINTRODUCE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO CENTRAL
GEORGIA, THOUGH CHANCES OVERALL REMAIN LOW. A FEW SCATTERED
DIURNALLY DRIVEN STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AND WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 458 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
BY MONDAY MORNING...GA WILL BE SITUATED ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE ATLANTIC RIDGE KEEPING THE REGION IN MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS
SUMMER-LIKE PATTERN STICKS AROUND DURING THE EARLY WEEK WITH MINIMAL
PRECIP CHANCES (20% TO 30%) AND WARM CONDITIONS (MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER
90S) MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST
SLIDES SLOWLY EAST OUT TO SEA ALLOWING A MORE SUSTAINED INCREASE IN
RAIN CHANCES/COVERAGE TO PUSH IN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
BY WEDNESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MAKING PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA, PROVIDING A BIGGER IMPETUS FOR INCREASED
RAIN CHANCES. WHILE TIMING IS INEXACT AT THIS TIME, THIS FRONT LOOKS
TO SLOWLY PUSH ACROSS THE STATE FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
POPS MAXIMIZED FOR DAYS 5 TO 7. WHILE ANY RAINFALL IS CERTAINLY
APPRECIATED, THIS WILL NOT BE A "DROUGHT-BUSTING" TYPE EVENT BY ANY
MEANS.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN PRIMARILY 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
LARGELY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 133 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SSW AFTER 15Z
BETWEEN 5-10KTS. A SCT/BKN VFR DECK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER
20Z BEFORE CLEARING OUT AGAIN AFTER 00Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 86 63 88 64 / 0 0 30 20
ATLANTA 85 66 87 66 / 0 0 30 20
BLAIRSVILLE 80 59 82 61 / 0 0 30 20
CARTERSVILLE 86 62 88 64 / 0 0 20 10
COLUMBUS 88 66 89 65 / 0 0 30 20
GAINESVILLE 84 64 86 65 / 0 0 40 30
MACON 89 66 89 65 / 0 0 40 30
ROME 85 60 88 63 / 0 0 20 10
PEACHTREE CITY 86 64 88 64 / 0 0 30 20
VIDALIA 90 68 89 66 / 0 0 20 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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