143
FXUS62 KFFC 180541
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
141 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
THE GA/AL BORDER, BUT COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN YESTERDAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOW 90S.
- INCREASED RAIN CHANCES RETURN FROM WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2026
ANOTHER WARM DAY EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO
THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. THE BEST CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS HAS SHIFTED TO THE WEST, THOUGH A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE GA/AL BORDER THIS AFTERNOON.
COVERAGE SEEMS TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN YESTERDAYS STORMS.
THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY IS A BIT OF A CARBON COPY FOR TODAY THOUGH
WITH INCREASING AFTERNOON CLOUDS OUT A HEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT'S
EXPECTED TO BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF WEATHER. YOU CAN FIND MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THAT SYSTEM IN THE LONG TERM BELOW. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHERLY AT 5-10MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE PLEASANTLY IN
THE MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT SUN MAY 17 2026
INITIAL RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT ON TUESDAY KEEPS THINGS
DRY AND WARM, BUT THE FORECAST WILL BE TRENDING TOWARD A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN WITH MORE OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAINFALL THEREAFTER.
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD FAR NORTH GEORGIA. THE HIGHEST POPS WILL BE
RELEGATED TO THESE AREAS IN PROXIMITY TO THE FRONTAL FORCING WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS INITIALLY FAVORED FARTHER SOUTHEAST.
THE FRONT MAKES ONLY LIMITED SOUTHWARD PROGRESS BY THURSDAY INTO
NORTH GEORGIA AS UPPER SUPPORT DEPARTS NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
GREAT LAKES INTO QUEBEC. AS SUCH, DIURNALLY-ENHANCED POPS SHOULD
AGAIN BE HIGHEST ALONG/NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. FLOW ALOFT THEN
TRANSITIONS INTO SOUTHWEST FLOW BY LATE WEEK AS THE FRONT BECOMES
STATIONARY. WEAK SHORTWAVES WITHIN THIS FLOW WILL ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE HEADED INTO THE WEEKEND, PARTICULARLY WITH THE
AID OF DIURNAL HEATING. COVERAGE AGAIN WILL LIKELY BE HIGHEST
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH THIS PERIOD.
THE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO LOOK LOW GIVEN THE
SUMMER-LIKE WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT, A COUPLE OF STRONG TO
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CERTAINLY CAN'T BE RULED OUT. WHILE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE, THE LACK OF A WIDESPREAD
AND PERSISTENT SOAKING RAINFALL WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL IMPACT ON
THE DROUGHT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN GENERALLY SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL (HIGHS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ON THE WARMEST DAYS AND LOWS
IN THE 60S), THOUGH MARGINALLY COOLER HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE LATE
WEEK GIVEN INCREASED CLOUDS AND CONVECTIVE COVERAGE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 124 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AFTER 10Z. RAIN FROM
YESTERDAY MAY RESULT IN SOME LOW CLOUDS NEAR SUNRISE. A TEMPO FOR
BKN IFR CIGS RUNS FROM 10 TO 13Z. A CU FIELD WITH SCT LOW VFR WILL
FORM AFTER 15Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON IFR CIGS.
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 89 65 91 / 0 0 0 10
ATLANTA 66 87 68 89 / 0 0 0 30
BLAIRSVILLE 60 83 62 83 / 0 0 0 50
CARTERSVILLE 64 88 64 88 / 0 0 10 50
COLUMBUS 66 90 67 91 / 0 0 0 20
GAINESVILLE 63 87 66 88 / 0 0 0 20
MACON 63 90 65 91 / 0 0 0 10
ROME 63 88 63 87 / 0 0 10 60
PEACHTREE CITY 64 88 65 90 / 0 0 0 30
VIDALIA 64 91 66 92 / 0 10 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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