956
FXUS62 KFFC 200526
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
126 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEE WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S.
- AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I-85 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON.
- INCREASED RAIN CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN GEORGIA.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
WARM AND DRY TODAY:
ANOTHER PLEASANT WEATHER AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW
90S, AND SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS. A LINGERING DRY
AIRMASS WITH PWAT VALUES UNDER 1" ACROSS THE AREA WILL PREVENT
THE CUMULUS FROM HAVING MUCH VERTICAL GROWTH.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY:
WINDS TURN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, BRINGING
MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION AND LEADING TO A RETURN OF RAIN
CHANCES. SKIES WILL START OFF MOSTLY CLEAR, WITH CUMULUS BUILDING
AND BECOMING WIDESPREAD DURING THE AFTERNOON AS PWAT VALUES CLIMB
TO AROUND 1.2-1.4" IN WEST/NORTHWEST GA. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY
SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS INSTABILITY PEAKS. ELSEWHERE,
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE TOO LOW TO RESULT IN ANYTHING
MORE THAN BRIEF ISOLATED SHOWERS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHWEST GA WILL BE GARDEN-VARIETY DUE TO LOW SHEAR (<20KTS) AND
MEAGER INSTABILITY (<1000 J/KG), WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND
LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN
CLIMB TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL
HAVE ENTERED THE FAR NORTHERN TIER BY THE TIME THE LONG TERM PERIOD
PICKS UP ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTH AND WEST GEORGIA FROM WED NIGHT WITH PRECIP
SPREADING FURTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY THU. AS RIDGING OVER THE
ATLANTIC COAST AND WEST ATLANTIC CONTINUES TO FLATTEN, THE FRONT
WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THU, EVENTUALLY STALLING NORTH OF
I-20 AMID SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL
START THE MORNING ON THURSDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS THE
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ACROSS FAR NORTH
GEORGIA (IN THE LOW TO MID 80S) BEHIND THE FRONT COMPARED TO UPPER
80S ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND LOW 90S OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA.
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION,
WITH POPS OF 60-80% FOR NORTH GA, AND 20-40% ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
THE FRONT WILL BECOME LESS DEFINED AND BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD
FRIDAY WITHIN SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INTENSIFY AS A
SECOND RIDGE APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS, GIVING THE FRONT AN
ADDITIONAL PUSH AWAY TO THE NORTH. WHILE THIS RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS DURING THE WEEKEND, THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD AMPLE MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 80S AND LOW 90S EACH DAY ALONG WITH
AMPLE MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS DIURNAL CONVECTION
EACH DAY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL
BE GREATEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS TIME, THE
DEEPEST MOISTURE AND HIGHEST PWATS ACROSS OUR AREA WILL REMAIN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND WEST GA. WILL KEEP THE MOST CONSISTENT
HEAVY RAINFALL WEST OF GEORGIA. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH GA COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 INCH 7 DAY TOTALS. THIS WILL BE VERY WELCOMED PRECIP TO
HELP WITH OUR CURRENT DROUGHT SITUATION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 117 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2026
VFR START TO THE TAFS. CEILINGS WILL BECOME BKN AFTER 14Z WITH A
SCT CU FIELD AT 4-5K FT. BETWEEN 19-00Z, THERE IS A LOW END CHANCE
FOR TSRA. DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE, WILL KEEP A PROB30 RATHER THAN
ISSUE A TEMPO GROUP. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES,
BUT A WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE SE TO THE SW
AFTER 14Z
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO LOW ON TSRA.
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 67 91 66 87 / 10 50 40 80
ATLANTA 69 88 69 87 / 20 60 40 50
BLAIRSVILLE 63 82 61 78 / 20 80 60 80
CARTERSVILLE 65 87 66 87 / 30 80 60 60
COLUMBUS 68 92 69 92 / 20 20 10 10
GAINESVILLE 67 87 66 83 / 20 70 60 80
MACON 68 92 69 92 / 0 20 10 20
ROME 63 86 64 85 / 30 80 70 70
PEACHTREE CITY 66 89 67 89 / 20 50 30 40
VIDALIA 67 93 70 93 / 0 10 10 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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