671
FXUS62 KFFC 260738
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
338 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN THIS AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL
AND EAST GA, AND THEN ACROSS NORTH GA ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
- HEAT CONCERNS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH HIGH TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S AND HEAT INDEX VALUES
OVER 100 ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FROM SUNDAY ON.
- COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS OVER THE COURSE OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. MEANWHILE, A SURFACE BOUNDARY IS LINGERING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. THOUGH THE BOUNDARY WILL BECOME MORE DIFFUSE AS
IT MEANDERS NORTH, THE INTERACTION BETWEEN IT AND THE SHORTWAVE WILL
PROVIDE SOME ENHANCEMENT TO DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION TODAY.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ONGOING IN PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA AT
THE TIME OF THIS WRITING. AS TEMPERATURES WARM, COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TO THE SOUTH OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR,
WITH POPS RISING TO BETWEEN 25-40 PERCENT. WITH BETTER SHEAR AND
DYNAMICS REMAINING NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR THE TROUGH
AXIS, ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. WITH MUCAPE VALUES
BETWEEN 1500-2500 J/KG, A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG AND CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. WITH PWATS
INCREASING TO BETWEEN 1.75-2" TO THE SOUTH OF I-85, STRONGER STORMS
WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TOWARDS THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY, THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST FROM
CENTRAL TENNESSEE TOWARDS NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON SATURDAY. AS THIS
OCCURS, A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ADVANCE TOWARDS THE AREA. WITH
INCREASED BUOYANCY AND SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA IN THE MID-
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING COULD BECOME ORGANIZED INTO BROKEN
LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS. BECAUSE OF
THIS, THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 5) OF SEVERE WEATHER IN
PORTIONS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA IN AREAS NORTH AND EAST
OF ATLANTA.
LOW TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL LARGELY BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S. AS SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW ADVECTS WARM AND MOIST GULF
AIR INTO THE REGION, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 80S
TO LOW 90S AND DEWPOINTS WILL RISE INTO THE THE LOW 70S IN NORTH
GEORGIA AND MID 70S IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 92-
97 DEGREES IN NORTH GEORGIA (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHEAST
MOUNTAINS) AND BETWEEN 97-101 DEGREES IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS, TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY WARMER ON SATURDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES ON
SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WHILE HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S NORTH OF I-85 AND
MID 90S TO THE SOUTH OF I-85. WITH LINGERING MOIST DEWPOINTS, HEAT
INDEX VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 95-100 TO THE NORTH OF I-85
AND 99-103 TO THE SOUTH.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT MOISTURE INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY, HELPING BOOST INSTABILITY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK
WAVE TRANSLATING EASTWARD ACROSS TN INTO THE CAROLINAS MAY PROVIDE
ENOUGH LIFT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH/NORTHEAST GA WHERE A
MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS IN PLACE. THE MAIN RISK
WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE LOWER STORM
CHANCES AND INCREASING TEMPERATURES AS UPPER RIDGING AMPLIFIES
ACROSS THE EASTERN US INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA OUTSIDE ELEVATED PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GA, WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY VALUES PUSHING HEAT INDICES TO NEAR OR OVER 105 DEGREES
IN SOME AREAS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 143 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LARGELY VFR THIS MORNING. MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 080-100 CONTINUE TO DIMINISH, THOUGH SCATTERED IFR
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST GA, INCLUDING CSG,
BETWEEN 10-13Z. A CU FIELD AROUND 035-050 WILL DEVELOP IN THE
LATE MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSRA WILL DEVELOP AFTER 18Z, WARRANTING A PROB30
FOR TSRA FROM 18-22Z AT ATL. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME
SW AT 4-8 KTS BY 14-15Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON AFTERNOON TSRA CHANCES.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 90 72 93 74 / 30 10 10 10
ATLANTA 90 74 92 75 / 20 10 20 10
BLAIRSVILLE 83 67 84 67 / 20 20 50 30
CARTERSVILLE 90 73 91 74 / 10 10 20 20
COLUMBUS 90 73 93 74 / 30 10 10 0
GAINESVILLE 88 72 90 73 / 20 10 20 20
MACON 90 72 93 74 / 40 10 10 10
ROME 90 73 90 73 / 10 10 30 20
PEACHTREE CITY 89 72 91 73 / 20 10 10 10
VIDALIA 92 73 95 76 / 30 20 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KING
LONG TERM....WARE
AVIATION...KING
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