054
FXUS62 KFFC 060018
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
818 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL RETURN ON
THURSDAY, AGAIN BRINGING THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY INTO
THE WEEKEND, WITH THREATS FOR HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF SEASONAL
NORMS (MID-80S TO LOWER 90S) THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2026
IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR CONSISTENCY, YOU'LL FIND IT IN THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DYING MIDLEVEL LOW AS
IT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD AND IS ABSORBED INTO THE TROUGH TO
OUR NORTH. FORTUNATELY, CONVECTION HAS A BIT MORE FORWARD MOVEMENT
TODAY AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, HELPING TO LIMIT THE RESIDENCY OF
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ANY ONE SPOT. STILL, GIVEN THE SOUPY
ENVIRONMENT, ANY TRAINING CELLS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND AN ISOLATED INSTANCE OF FLASH FLOODING. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL
THEN DISSIPATE MARKEDLY AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, CONSISTENCY IS KEY HEADING INTO THURSDAY AS WE
TRANSITION INTO A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED SW FLOW ALOFT AROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BUILDING BERMUDA HIGH. AS SUCH, A GOOD
SMATTERING OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN AGAIN BE
EXPECTED WITH DAYTIME HEATING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS MAY NOTCH
UPWARD SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY, THOUGH STILL FAIRLY TAME FOR EARLY
AUGUST, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR MOST OUTSIDE OF
THE MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2026
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG TERM WEATHER PATTERN,
WHICH IS CHARACTERIZED BY A MORE PROMINENT BERMUDA HIGH AND
RISING HEIGHTS OVER THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE CWA WILL REMAIN ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE SUPPORTING A GENERAL
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A CONTINUATION OF ELEVATED PWATS RANGING FROM
1.5-2". THIS SETUP WILL REINFORCE THE SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH WEAK
FLOW ALOFT AND A STRICTER DIURNAL DISTRIBUTION OF ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED PULSE-TYPE THUNDERSTORMS AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND. POP
CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE 30-60% RANGE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING CONSIDERATIONS. THIS
PATTERN WILL SUPPORT A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND IN CLOUD COVER AND
AN UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES, RISING SLIGHTLY INTO THE UPPER
80S TO LOW 90S OUTSIDE OF MOUNTAIN AREAS BY THE WEEKEND. AS
CONDITIONS WARM, THE POTENTIAL FOR TRIPLE- DIGIT HEAT INDICES WILL
INCREASE, AND WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF ISSUING A
HEAT ADVISORY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 811 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS AND
STORMS. POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF MVFR TO IFR CIGS AROUND 10-13Z
FOR THE ATL AREA SITES, WITH BEST CHANCES AT AHN. LOW VFR TO SCT
MVFR CU FIELDS AND SCT SHRA DEVELOP AFTER 16Z, WITH TSRA POSSIBLE
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT,
INCREASING TO AROUND 4-6KTS OUT OF THE S DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN THU AM CIGS. MEDIUM ON WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH ON OTHER ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 70 87 70 88 / 30 40 40 50
ATLANTA 72 88 72 89 / 20 40 30 40
BLAIRSVILLE 65 81 66 82 / 30 70 30 70
CARTERSVILLE 71 88 71 90 / 10 50 20 30
COLUMBUS 73 92 73 92 / 20 30 20 30
GAINESVILLE 70 86 70 86 / 40 60 40 60
MACON 71 89 71 91 / 20 30 30 30
ROME 70 88 70 90 / 10 50 10 30
PEACHTREE CITY 70 89 70 90 / 10 40 20 50
VIDALIA 72 91 72 93 / 40 40 20 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...CULVER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page