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FXUS62 KFFC 241805
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
205 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY FOR NORTH GEORGIA AND LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH TUESDAY.
- COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
BY MID-TO-LATE WEEK AS A FRONT APPROACHES.
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE LARGELY EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
CALM WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. DRY CONDITIONS
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL LIMIT OUR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO MINIMAL,
AND CONTAINED TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF
THE NW AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 15 MPH.
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE CWA TOMORROW
WITH RH VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON DROPPING DOWN INTO THE 35% RANGE,
MAKING CONDITIONS FEEL DOWNRIGHT LOVELY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BEFORE PICKING UP TO 5 TO
10 MPH AGAIN UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE LARGE-
SCALE, UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN MIDWEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TROUGHING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE FIRST HALF OR SO OF THE LONG-TERM PERIOD
WILL TRANSITION TO RIDGING ON SATURDAY.
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH, DAILY CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS WILL
PREVAIL. DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE TROUGH MAY ENHANCE CONVECTION EACH
DAY AND LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH. NCAR MEDIUM-RANGE
REAL-TIME AI NWP CONVECTIVE HAZARD FORECASTS, GEFS ML FORECASTS, AND
LONGER-RANGE CAMS ON THE NSSL WEBSITE (SOME OF WHICH PICKED UP ON
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE QLCS/MCS THAT OCCURRED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AT
3-4 DAYS OUT LAST WEEK) SUGGEST THAT MARGINAL RISKS FROM SPC MAY BE
NEEDED BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. SPECIFICALLY, THE LATEST RUNS
OF THE MPAS-RRFS AND RRFS-EMC DEPICT CONVECTION FIRING ALONG A
FRONT/BOUNDARY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING ON WEDNESDAY, WITH MORE
ORGANIZED CONVECTION POSSIBLY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. AS ALWAYS THIS TIME OF YEAR AND DURING AMPLIFIED UPPER-
LEVEL FLOW PATTERNS, IT WILL BE WISE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN SEVERE
WEATHER PARAMETERS WITH SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS. MOISTURE IS
FORECASTED TO REMAIN PLENTIFUL THIS WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH THE TRANSITION
TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING AND THUS LESS "LIFT" MAY HAMPER CONVECTION
SOMEWHAT OVERALL.
THE MOISTURE WILL MAKE THE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90S FEEL LIKE 100 TO 105 DEGREES ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA AND PARTS OF
NORTH GEORGIA EACH DAY. THE COVERAGE OF HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105
DEGREES (OR GREATER) WILL DETERMINE IF AND WHERE HEAT ADVISORIES ARE
NEEDED.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 128 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
CU FIELD EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR.
WINDS WILL BE NNW AT 5 TO 10KTS THROUGH THE DAY. A FEW OBS OUT OF
THE NNE ARE POSSIBLE, BEFORE BECOMING PREVAILING NW AGAIN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CYCLE. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OVERNIGHT
AND WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 66 92 69 92 / 0 0 0 40
ATLANTA 69 93 71 92 / 0 0 0 40
BLAIRSVILLE 61 86 63 85 / 0 0 0 40
CARTERSVILLE 64 93 68 93 / 0 0 0 20
COLUMBUS 72 94 72 93 / 0 10 10 30
GAINESVILLE 65 90 68 91 / 0 0 0 40
MACON 70 94 71 93 / 0 10 10 50
ROME 64 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 20
PEACHTREE CITY 67 93 68 92 / 0 0 10 30
VIDALIA 72 94 72 93 / 10 40 20 60
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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