049
FXUS62 KFFC 280604
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
204 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND FRIDAY.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE LARGELY EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
THE EARLY MORNING PRECIPITATION OVER THE METRO WILL LIKELY PLAY
HAVOC ON THE FORECAST TODAY.SHOWERS AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE METRO LEAVING HIGH AND MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAME REGION. TEMPS ARE ALREADY SEVERAL
DEGREES BELOW THE PRIOR FORECAST DUE TO THE CLOUD COVERAGE AND WE
ADJUSTMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MADE. FURTHERMORE, THE COOLER TEMPS
WILL LIKELY INHIBIT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM FORMATION THIS
AFTERNOON. IF THE CLOUDS CLEAR OUT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, AS
SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING, WE COULD STILL DESTABILIZE ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTORMS A LITTLE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON (ESPECIALLY WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT.
AS WE GET INTO THE FRIDAY TIMEFRAME, THE CURRENT BOUNDARY OVER THE
CWA SHIFT SOUTHWARD AS WEAK CYCLOGENESIS CONCENTRATES MOISTURE
FURTHER TOWARDS THE GULF THAN PRIOR FORECASTS. THIS SOUTHWARD SHIFT,
COMBINED WITH THE INCOMING SHORTWAVE AND SECONDARY FRONT, HAS
RESULTED IN A DECREASE IN THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK FROM PRIOR
DAYS' OUTLOOKS. WE STILL HAVE A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 4) FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, WHICH WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED NEAR WHEREVER THE
CURRENT BOUNDARY SETS UP TOMORROW. ISOLATED POCKETS OF 3"+ FROM
INDIVIDUAL SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE. WITH THE
SOUTHWARD SHIFT, THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR SOUTH OF THE FALL LINE
WHERE SOILS CAN MORE READILY HANDLE HEAVY RAINFALL.
TEMPERATURE WISE, THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE COMING DAYS
ALONG WITH THE INCOMING COOLER AIR WILL PROVIDE SOME TEMPORARY HEAT
RELIEF (RELATIVELY SPEAKING) INTO THE WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
THE LONG TERM BEGINS AS THE LONGWAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH RETREATS
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, LEAVING THE REGION IN A GENERAL RIDGING
PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS WILL REINVIGORATE OUR
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID-90S FOR MOST OF OUR CWA BY MIDWEEK. THESE RISING
TEMPERATURES, COMBINED WITH AN ONGOING INFLUX OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF, WILL KEEP DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID-70S
MAKING IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT UNPLEASANT DURING THE AFTERNOONS. FOR THE
TIME BEING, THIS COMBINATION WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY LEVELS,
BUT WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE TRENDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THINGS HEAT UP.
THIS PATTERN WILL PROVIDE FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. HOWEVER, THE PROSPECT OF SEVERE WEATHER
REMAINS LOW IN THE ABSENCE OF NOTEWORTHY SHEAR OR MORE SUPPORTIVE
DYNAMICS. REGARDLESS, DAILY AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE, WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
BOTTOM LINE IS TO EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME AUGUST WEATHER, WITH NO
REAL CHANGE IN THE PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 157 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
CONDITIONS ARE LARGELY VFR AS THE MORNING BEGINS, PATCHY FOG AND
IFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, MOST
LIKELY BETWEEN 10-13Z. LIFR CEILINGS MAY FURTHERMORE BE POSSIBLE
AT AHN/MCN DURING THIS TIME WINDOW. CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
AND SCATTER AFTER SUNRISE, BECOMING SCT 020-030 BY 15Z AND 035-050
BY 18Z. SCATTERED TSRA IS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, WARRANTING A PROB30 FROM 20-02Z AT ATL. CONVECTION WILL
BE MORE LIKELY TO BEGIN BY 18-19Z IN CENTRAL GA INCLUDING CSG/MCN,
WHERE CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SOONER. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO START THE MORNING, AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE NW
SIDE AT 3-6 KTS AT THE ATL METRO SITES AND SW AT 3-6 KTS AT
AHN/MCN/CSG DURING THE DAYTIME.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 69 89 70 91 / 50 50 30 30
ATLANTA 72 89 72 90 / 30 40 20 30
BLAIRSVILLE 64 84 65 84 / 10 50 10 50
CARTERSVILLE 70 91 70 91 / 10 30 20 30
COLUMBUS 72 91 72 92 / 20 50 20 40
GAINESVILLE 69 87 69 89 / 40 40 20 30
MACON 70 89 70 91 / 40 60 40 60
ROME 69 91 69 91 / 10 20 10 30
PEACHTREE CITY 70 89 70 90 / 20 50 20 40
VIDALIA 72 88 72 92 / 40 60 40 70
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...KING
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