414
FXUS62 KFFC 051737
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
137 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH THIS MORNING.
- A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN MORE SEASONAL EARLY-OCTOBER CONDITIONS.
- RAIN CHANCES TREND UPWARD BY THE WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 244 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
TODAY IS A DAY OF TRANSITION AS LINGERING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF
MODERATE RAINFALL IS ONGOING ACROSS MIDDLE GEORGIA WHILE RAINFALL
HAS LARGELY COME TO AN END ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AS DRIER AIR FILTERS
IN ALOFT. STILL, PLENTY OF LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG/DRIZZLE WILL
PERSIST ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH THE MORNING AS LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. MEANWHILE, SHOWERS WILL LARGELY
COME TO AN END IN MIDDLE GEORGIA BY MIDDAY.
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL LAG TO THE NORTH TODAY, SO DESPITE
RAINFALL ENDING, DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 WILL KEEP IT FEELING HUMID.
CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE PERSISTENT INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE BEGINNING
TO SCATTER IN NORTH GEORGIA TO SOME DEGREE. THE COLD FRONT WILL
FINALLY GET A PUSH SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TOWARD THE MID
ATLANTIC BY TUESDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT, A NOTICEABLY DRIER
AIRMASS WILL ADVECT INTO MOST OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE FALL LINE
BY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO A MORE TYPICAL EARLY-
OCTOBER DAY ON TUESDAY WITH A RETURN TO SUN (WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF FAR SOUTHERN AREAS) AS WELL. LOWS WILL ALSO FEEL MUCH MORE
PLEASANT AS WIDESPREAD 50S WILL MAKE AN APPEARANCE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 244 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE DEPICTS THE POLAR JET STREAM SITUATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TIER OF THE CONUS. IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY FRONTS OR AIRMASS CHANGES,
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE -- HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID-80S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY: AFTER THE AFOREMENTIONED DRY PERIOD, GULF
MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) HAS IDENTIFIED AN AREA OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF THAT COULD BE CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME,
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, THE TAKEAWAY IS THAT SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL RETURN. ADDITIONALLY, DENSE CLOUD COVER (AND POTENTIALLY
ANOTHER COLD AIR DAMMING "WEDGE") COULD BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES --
HIGHS IN THE 70S ARE CURRENTLY FORECASTED. IT APPEARS THAT BREEZY
CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR AS WELL, ESPECIALLY IF THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA (CWA) ENDS UP WITHIN THE INTERPLAY OF THE WEDGE AND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE POTENTIALLY-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
OVERCAST SKIES BEGINNING TO CLEAR BEHIND THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE. BEGINNING TO SEE SOME
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NORTH GA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE CEILINGS
LIFT AND SCATTERED OUT THROUGH SUNSET. CURRENTLY MOST TAF SITES
ARE STILL IN THE IFR TO MVFR RANGE WITH THINGS EXPECTED TO BE
MAINLY MVFR BY 18Z-19Z. WILL SEE CEILINGS CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO
THE VFR RANGE BY 21Z-23Z AND SCT/CLR OUT OVERNIGHT. WINDS
EXPECTED TO STAY OUT OF THE E TO NE. WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO STAY
8MPH OR LESS TODAY/TONIGHT WITH SOME SLIGHTLY INCREASED SPEEDS IN
THE 8-12MPH RANGE TUE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 76 57 76 52 / 10 0 0 0
ATLANTA 77 62 77 57 / 10 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 76 52 75 46 / 10 10 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 80 58 80 53 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 79 64 81 60 / 30 10 10 0
GAINESVILLE 76 58 75 54 / 10 0 0 0
MACON 77 61 79 57 / 50 0 0 0
ROME 81 57 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 78 59 78 53 / 10 0 0 0
VIDALIA 74 64 76 61 / 90 10 10 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...01
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