917
FXUS62 KFFC 060542
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
142 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN MORE SEASONAL EARLY-OCTOBER CONDITIONS.
- RAIN CHANCES TREND UPWARD BY THE WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
EXPECTING THINGS TO IMPROVE IN THE SHORT TERM WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
COOLER TEMPS. CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS MOSTLY OVERCAST SKIES
ACROSS THE STATE WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS MOVING INTO NW GA. THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT BOUGHT RAIN TO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND IS
MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE WITH A DRIER/COOLER AIRMASS
MOVING INTO NW GA BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NEW
ENGLAND/MID ATLANTIC STATES IS BEGINNING TO BUILD DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD BECOMING ALMOST WEDGE LIKE TUE/WED. COOLER E TO NE FLOW SETS
UP CLEARING THINGS OUT WITH HIGH TEMPS TUE EXPECTED MAINLY IN THE
70S TO NEAR 80. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL DIP DOWN INTO THE 60S WITH
LOWS TUE NIGHT DON INTO THE 50S WITH SOME 40S ACROSS NE GA.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WILL START OFF THE LONG
TERM. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE 50S WITH 40'S LIKELY IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA. BY THE TIME WE GET TO
THURSDAY, RAIN CHANCES FOR THE CWA DROP TO NEARLY ZERO AS THE
STATIONARY FRONT SINKS INTO FLORIDA.
AS OF THE TIME WRITING THIS, THE NHC IS KEEPING AN EYE ON A
DISTURBANCE OFF THE YUCATAN THAT THEY'RE GIVING A 80% CHANCE OF
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS. ALL OF THE MAJOR MODELS ARE
DEVELOPING IT INTO SOME KIND OF TROPICAL SYSTEM WITH LANDFALL
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST EAST OF NOLA. THIS WOULD
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF WET WEATHER TO THE AREA BY NEXT WEEKEND.
THE EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ONLY
SPECULATION AND THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHAT AND
WHERE THIS SYSTEM WILL DO. IT'S PRESENCE THOUGH WILL FORCE THE
STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA BACK NORTH AND IT SEEMS
LIKELY THAT REGARDLESS OF THE TRACK THE STORM TAKES, WE'LL LIKELY
HAVE ANOTHER WET WEEKEND. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST AS IT EVOLVES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES HAVE BEEN OCCASIONALLY INTERRUPTED
BY PERIODIC PATCHY GROUND FOG AND A FEW AREAS OF LOWER CIGS. THESE
AREAS OF FOG AND PERHAPS PERIODIC IFR CIGS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY
AT AHN/ATL AREA SITES THROUGH 12-14Z BEFORE QUICKLY DIMINISHING
AND GIVING AWAY TO VFR THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL REMAIN E AT 3-6 KTS
INCREASING TO 10-13 KTS AFTER 15Z BEFORE SETTLING BACK TOWARD 5
KTS AFTER 22-00Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON MORNING CIGS/VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OTHER ELEMENTS.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 53 79 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 57 79 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 46 79 49 82 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 54 82 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 61 82 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 55 78 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 58 82 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 52 83 52 87 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 54 80 52 85 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 62 81 58 83 / 10 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...RW
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