347
FXUS63 KFGF 202100
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
300 PM CST WED NOV 20 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON IN THE DEVILS
LAKE BASIN.
- SNOW SLOWLY COMES TO AN END ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION
THIS EVENING.
- ADDITIONAL SNOW IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY,
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 200. THERE IS A 70 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR 1 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER, WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE ALONG THE HIGHWAY 200
CORRIDOR.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 300 PM CST WED NOV 20 2024
..SYNOPSIS
H5 UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, THUS REMOVING SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR ONGOING SNOW. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE FOR SCATTERED MESOSCALE BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW HEADING
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, WITH CAMS SHOWING DEVELOPMENT IN AND
AROUND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL RED RIVER VALLEY. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL IS SOMEWHAT LOW; HOWEVER, VISIBILITY COULD BE
ADVERSELY IMPACTED BRIEFLY. WINDS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS; HOWEVER,
SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT IN
THE RANGE OF 10 TO 20 MPH.
HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES
WILL SLOWLY AS THE LOW CONTINUES EASTWARD. ANY POTENTIAL CLEARING
FROM WEST TO EAST WILL BE SLOW, BUT GRADUALLY WE SHOULD SEE PARTLY
SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SETTLING INTO THE AREA IN THE
COMING DAYS AS ANOTHER SYSTEM TRAVERSES THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE REGION,
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 200. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY STILL, BUT THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT AMONG ENSEMBLES
REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LOW THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CANADIAN PLAINS AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. ACCUMULATION
POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO CHANGE AS WE GET CLOSER, WITH CURRENT
PROBABILITIES SHOWING ABOUT A 70 PERCENT CHANCE FOR 1 INCH OR MORE
SNOW FROM HIGHWAY 2, NORTHWARD TO THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM, MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE SUPPORTED, WITH
HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO LOW 20S ON MONDAY AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
IFR CIGS PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW CONTINUE TO IMPACT VISIBILITY. CEILINGS REMAIN RATHER LOW
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. LIFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT KDVL, AND KGFK.
OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR SLOW IMPROVEMENT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN AND GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND PORTIONS OF WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THESE GUSTS SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE THIS
EVENING, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS RANGING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR NDZ008-
016-027-029-030-038-039-049-052-053.
BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR NDZ006-007-
014-015-024-026-028-054.
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
MNZ001>005-007-008-013>016-022-023-027>031-040.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...LYNCH
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