604  
FNUS73 KFGF 060240  
FWSFGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HATTON FIRE...TRAILL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND  
840 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 CST ON NOVEMBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CALL THE NWS IN GRAND FORKS AT 701-795-5127 FOR ADDITIONAL  
INFORMATION AND MONITOR OUR WEBSITE (WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FGF) OR NOAA  
ALL-HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL  
SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH PEAK INTENSITIES IN  
WIND AROUND NOON BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH. GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 30  
MPH WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD  
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND SHIFT WINDS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST. IF  
THE FRONT IS ABLE TO MAKE IT THROUGH EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON THEN  
INTENSITIES IN WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO HOLD BETWEEN 10 AND 20  
MPH. HOWEVER, IF THE FRONT WORKS THROUGH AT THE CURRENT EXPECTED  
TIMEFRAME AT THE SITE (AROUND 4-6 PM) THEN WIND SPEEDS SHOULD  
DIMINISH IN INTENSITY BELOW 10-15 MPH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER  
SUNSET REGARDLESS OF FRONTAL TIMEFRAME.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....(1800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........34 44 33 56 70 92 93 90 91  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............26 25 24 25 28 30 31 31 32  
RH..............96 100 100 100 92 88 85 85 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 8 11 13 14 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIXING WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE S S SE SE  
MIXING WIND SPD.5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO  
15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....7200 KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
38300 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........93 98 97 95 86 89 94 88 78 71 54 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............32 33 34 37 40 42 44 46 47 47 46 44  
RH..............82 82 82 75 67 62 60 56 56 56 60 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 20 20 22 23 23 22 20 18 15 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.3 1.3 0.8  
MIXING WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW W W  
MIXING WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 8 12 16 30 34 38 35 38 26 12 8  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....14200 KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING  
TO 2700 KNOT-FT LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 50 50 46 25 35 45 53 62 70 78 86  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 35 34 33 31  
RH..............76 82 82 85 89 89 89 89 92 96 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 11 11 12 12 13 14 15 18 20 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0  
MIXING WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N  
MIXING WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 6 8 11 14  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....17600 KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 64700 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 93 91 90 81 71 62 52 41 31 35 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............29 30 30 31 32 32 33 32 32 32 30 28  
RH..............100 100 100 96 85 75 66 63 58 56 58 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 25 26 26 26 25 23 23 21 18 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.6 2.1  
MIXING WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
MIXING WIND SPD.20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 26 36 47 53 59 65 62 59 56 41 29  
 
 
FORECASTER...AP  
REQUESTED BY...BEN GATES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2525261.0/FGF  
.DELDT 11/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BGATES@ND.GOV  
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