855  
FXUS65 KFGZ 011055  
AFDFGZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
355 AM MST TUE APR 1 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY WITH A MORE UNSETTLED  
PATTERN AND CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.  
COLDER TEMPERATURES RETURN BEFORE WARMING RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION...TODAY
 
STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH TODAY AS THE JET MAX MOVES OVERHEAD AND A COLD FRONT DROPS  
DOWN FROM THE NORTH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ALONG AND NORTH  
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH THE WHITE MOUNTAINS WITH WINDS 20-30 MPH  
AND GUSTS 40-50 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE  
AREAS THROUGH 7 PM MST/8 PM MDT. ONE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE WIND  
HEADLINES AS THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOK TO BE ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER  
VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY, WHERE GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WE HAVE  
UPGRADED THIS ZONE TO A HIGH WIND WARNING, IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM  
MST/8 PM MDT. THE ADVISORY FOR THE KAIBAB PLATEAU AND GRAND CANYON  
COUNTY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE THIS MORNING THOUGH WINDS 15-25 MPH  
WITH GUST TO 40 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED TODAY. THERE IS LIMITED  
MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE REGION BUT WITH ENOUGH  
LIFT PRESENT, WE SHOULD SEE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH  
THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCES REMAIN NORTH OF I-40 WITH THE MOST LIKELY  
SPOTS TOWARDS THE AZ/UTAH BORDER THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.  
AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT, AROUND A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OR SO.  
 
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE COLD FRONT WILL  
DEEPEN ON WEDNESDAY, ALLOWING FOR BETTER MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE  
REGION. EXPECT MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION ON  
WEDNESDAY WITH CONTINUED SHOWERS INTO THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH CUTS  
OFF AND MOVES SLOWLY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD MOISTURE WITH  
THIS SYSTEM AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT WE WILL SEE A SWATH OF  
0.10-0.40 INCHES OF LIQUID ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME PRETTY COLD  
AIR BEING DRAGGED INTO THE REGION, WE WILL ALSO SEE SNOW FALL,  
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS ABOVE 5000 FEET. SNOW LEVELS MAY FALL TO AROUND  
4000 FEET SO DON'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FLURRY OR A FEW SNOWFLAKES  
IF YOU ARE A LOWER ELEVATION. HOW MUCH WE SEE STICK TO THE GROUND  
MAY DIFFER THAN THE FORECAST AMOUNTS AS THE SUN ANGLE IS HIGHER IN  
EARLY APRIL THAN SAY IN JANUARY AND THE GROUND TEMPS HAVE HAD SOME  
TIME TO WARM IN RECENT WEEKS. ACCUMULATIONS OF A 1-2" ARE POSSIBLE  
DOWN TO 5000-5500 FEET WITH 2-5" ABOVE 7000 FEET. PRECIPITATION WILL  
START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH THE HEAVIEST FALLING AROUND MIDDAY  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY  
WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.  
 
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THE CLOSED LOW REMAINS NEARBY THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, EVENTUALLY CLEARING OUT  
AROUND SUNDAY. EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES TO HANG AROUND THROUGH  
SATURDAY BEFORE WE START WARMING AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  
ADDITIONALLY, CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY REMAINING ON SUNDAY AS  
THE LOW EXITS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION...TUESDAY 01/12Z THROUGH WEDNESDAY 02/12Z
 
PATCHY MVFR  
CIGS THIS MORNING NEAR KFLG/KGCN/KSEZ, WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE  
AGAIN 19Z-04Z IN -SHRA/-SHSN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. VFR CONDITIONS  
OTHERWISE EXPECTED. WINDS W/SW 15-25 KTS WITH GUSTS 30-40 KTS,  
LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 50 KTS NEAR KSJN.  
 
OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY 02/12Z THROUGH FRIDAY 04/12Z...MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE  
IN SCT SHSN/SHRA AND LOW CIGS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS  
EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY. WINDS S/SW 10-20 KTS ON  
WEDNESDAY, SUBSIDING TO 5-15 KTS ON THURSDAY.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
 
COOLER, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40 THIS AFTERNOON. BETTER  
CHANCE FOR MORE AREA-WIDE PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 20-30 MPH, SHIFTING WEST THROUGH THE DAY, THEN BECOMING SOUTH  
10-20 MPH ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONTINUED COOLER CONDITIONS WITH DAILY  
CHANCES FOR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH ON THURSDAY BECOMING  
NORTH 10-15 MPH FOR FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR  
AZZ011>013-015>017-039-040.  
 
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR  
AZZ014.  
 

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC...MEOLA  
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS  
FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS  
 
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT  
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF  
 
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