271
FXUS65 KFGZ 031005
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
305 AM MST THU APR 3 2025
SYNOPSIS
COLD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST
OF THIS WEEK, WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EACH DAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO ARIZONA EARLY NEXT WEEK,
WITH DRY AND WARMER WEATHER EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE
GREAT BASIN AND DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN IT WILL
MOVE EASTWARD ON SATURDAY. A SHORTWAVE ROTATED THROUGH THE TROUGH
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND BROUGHT SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUED ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE
NIGHT. AN AREA OF MORE ORGANIZED SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED THIS
MORNING SOUTH OF I-40 IN COCONINO, GILA, AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES. THE
SHOWERS ARE MOVING TO THE EAST.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN NEVADA THIS MORNING
AND WILL ROTATE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY, BRINGING
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ESPECIALLY DURING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE A TRACE TO
2" ABOVE 5500 FEET AND MAY MELT OFF BETWEEN SHOWERS. THE LOW
REMAINS OVER OUR REGION FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS AND LIGHT ACCUMULATION ABOVE 6500 FEET. FINALLY BY
SATURDAY THE LOW MOVES EAST OF THE STATE, WITH SOME LINGERING
SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG THE AZ/NM STATE LINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
START TO BUILD OVER ARIZONA SUNDAY INTO AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER. HIGH TEMPERATURES
COULD WARM BY 30 DEGREES FROM TODAY TO WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION...THURSDAY 03/06Z THROUGH FRIDAY 04/06Z
WIDESPREAD
SHRA/SHSN ARE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. LINGERING MVFR-IFR VIS AND
CIGS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. CEILINGS COULD EVEN DROP TO LIFR OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN. SHOWER ACTIVITY PICKS UP AGAIN AFTER 18Z, BRINGING
FURTHER PERIODS OF MVFR-IFR THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE VRB
LESS THAN 10 KTS TONIGHT THEN W-SW 5-15 KTS TOMORROW. GUSTY/ERRATIC
WINDS COULD OCCUR NEAR SHOWERS.
OUTLOOK...FRIDAY 04/06Z THROUGH SUNDAY 06/06Z...CHANCES FOR SPOTTY
SHRA/SHSN BRINGING MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUES FRIDAY. SHOWERS
ALSO POSSIBLE SATURDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG HIGHER TERRAIN
IN FAR EASTERN AZ. WINDS ARE N-NW 5-15 KTS ON FRIDAY, THEN N
10-20 KTS ON SATURDAY. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VRB OR TERRAIN DRIVEN
DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIODS.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND FRIDAY
SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EACH
DAY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. WINDS
SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH TODAY, BECOMING NORTH/NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH ON
FRIDAY. GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE AROUND ANY STRONGER SHOWER.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS THE
EASTERN-HALF OF ARIZONA ON SATURDAY, WITH DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY, ALONG WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES. WINDS
NORTH/NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH ON SATURDAY, BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH
ON SUNDAY, THEN SWITCHING TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...MAS
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM
FIRE WEATHER... HUMPHREYS
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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