986  
FNUS75 KFGZ 301202  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAW INCIDENT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
502 AM MST WED JUL 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MST ON JULY 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY, WITH CHANCES  
FOR SHOWERS/STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS, BRIEF HEAVY RAIN, AND FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING. BEST CHANCES FOR ACTIVITY WILL BE BETWEEN 1100-1900 MST EACH DAY.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES LOOK TO BE 15-20% TODAY, INCREASING TO 25% ON THURSDAY. OUTSIDE  
OF GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS, LOOK FOR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT  
AND SOUTH THROUGH WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOONS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50-55 PERCENT BETWEEN 1100-1700 MST.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......705.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 12100  
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30-35 PERCENT BETWEEN 1700-2300 MST.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 KNOTS AFTER 3 AM.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......65-72 PERCENT BETWEEN 1100-1700 MST.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......515.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 12900  
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO  
400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.  
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY  
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=33.8114&LON=-109.4281&CLAT=33.8114&CLON=-109.4281  
 

 
FORECASTER...KONIECZNY  
REQUESTED BY...LOPEZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2518645.4/FGZ  
.DELDT 07/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.LOPEZ3@USDA.GOV  
 
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