015
FNUS75 KFGZ 311225
FWSFGZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAW INCIDENT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
525 AM MST THU JUL 31 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MST ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ
DISCUSSION
WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DAILY
CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY BETWEEN 1100-2000
MST. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY OUTFLOW DRIVEN, WITH ERRATIC
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. OUTSIDE OF OUTFLOWS, EXPECT
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH WEST. MINIMUM RH VALUES
WILL BE AROUND 25-35% TODAY, INCREASING TO 30-40% ON FRIDAY, WITH GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN
OVER THE WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100 MST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 TO 15 PERCENT, INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT AFTER
1100 MST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 79 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1000 MST.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......354.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 11700
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO
1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 2200 MST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 TO 60 PERCENT BEFORE 2200 MST, THEN 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 51 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
3 AM.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 1100 MST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT, INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT AFTER 1100 MST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 TO 78 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER 1100 MST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......329.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=33.8114&LON=-109.4281&CLAT=33.8114&CLON=-109.4281
FORECASTER...MEOLA
REQUESTED BY...LOPEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518645.5/FGZ
.DELDT 07/31/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.LOPEZ3@USDA.GOV
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