845
FXUS65 KFGZ 251123
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
423 AM MST TUE NOV 25 2025
SYNOPSIS
WARMER AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR TODAY AND WILL
LAST THROUGH THE WEEK. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A STORM SYSTEM TO
IMPACT THE AREA OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, STAY TUNED.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH FRIDAY, EXPECT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RANGING
FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, WITH LIGHT WINDS. THANKSGIVING
DAY WILL BE A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN ARIZONA.
THE RIDGE CAUSING THIS PLEASANT WEATHER BREAKS DOWN LATE OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN SHIFT COULD
CAUSE TRAVEL ISSUES, OR IT COULD JUST BE A COOLER PATTERN, AS STORMS
SLIDE TO OUR EAST. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS AREA CHAOTIC AT BEST AND
TELECONNECTIONS DO NOT PAINT A VERY CLEAR PICTURES. THE PATTERN MAY
END UP BEING DRY, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW, THAT CAN BE INDICATIVE OF LA
NINA. OR, THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE COULD RETROGRADE AND OPEN THE
DOOR FOR PRECIPITATION. SOMETHING TO BE AWARE OF, KEEP CHECKING THE
FORECAST FOR YOUR TRAVEL PLANS.
AVIATION...TUESDAY 25/12Z THROUGH WEDNESDAY 26/12Z
MOSTLY VFR
CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD, BUT ISOLATED MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN LOW CEILINGS/FG THROUGH 16Z. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS FORECAST THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY, MINUS AREAS
DOWNWIND OF TERRAIN WHERE NE WINDS 5-15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE MOSTLY
DURING THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS
OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY 26/12Z THROUGH FRIDAY 28/12Z...VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED
OUTSIDE OF BREEZY NE WINDS DOWNWIND OF TERRAIN BETWEEN 04Z-16Z
EACH DAY.
FIRE WEATHER...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY, ALONG WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. EXPECT
DAYTIME HIGHS 2-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN
25-45%.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS WILL STICK
AROUND THROUGH FRIDAY, BEFORE MUCH COOLER WEATHER RETURNS FOR THIS
WEEKEND. LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS ALSO EXPECTED THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH FORECAST ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS COULD BEGIN
SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT THERE'S HIGH UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS NEXT PATTERN
CHANGE.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...KONIECZNY
FIRE WEATHER...KONIECZNY
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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